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If the market completely turns bearish, what price level is suitable for buying BTC at the bottom?If the market completely turns bearish, what price level is suitable for buying BTC at the bottom? Here we draw on the perspective of renowned analyst Willy Woo: the realized value days floor model (CVDD floor model, Bitcoin bottom valuation model) When Bitcoin is transferred from an old investor who bought in at $1 to a new investor who bought in at $100,000, the new investor will assess the value of these Bitcoins at a higher bottom price, which helps to elevate the recognized bottom price of the entire Bitcoin supply globally. CVDD floor model The pink area shown in the chart (the very bottom one) represents its bottom valuation. Currently, it shows that its bottom is $41,370, meaning Bitcoin will never drop below $40,000.

If the market completely turns bearish, what price level is suitable for buying BTC at the bottom?

If the market completely turns bearish, what price level is suitable for buying BTC at the bottom?

Here we draw on the perspective of renowned analyst Willy Woo: the realized value days floor model (CVDD floor model, Bitcoin bottom valuation model)

When Bitcoin is transferred from an old investor who bought in at $1 to a new investor who bought in at $100,000, the new investor will assess the value of these Bitcoins at a higher bottom price, which helps to elevate the recognized bottom price of the entire Bitcoin supply globally.


CVDD floor model

The pink area shown in the chart (the very bottom one) represents its bottom valuation. Currently, it shows that its bottom is $41,370, meaning Bitcoin will never drop below $40,000.
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If you previously bought the spot $BERA and are now in a position to sell, then this is your chance to cash out. There is also a group of people desperately shouting that an opportunity has come, telling you that those people are just fools. If you don't sell now, the smart ones will, and if you hold onto your coins, they will depreciate significantly, indirectly making you a bag holder. Be careful, brother, making money in the crypto world is too difficult now, and you can't afford to squander your capital. $ZRO $STG Smart people always sell during a surge because they know that surges are not sustainable. Bag holders, on the other hand, always think that such surges will continue, only to find out that they are the only ones left.
If you previously bought the spot $BERA and are now in a position to sell, then this is your chance to cash out. There is also a group of people desperately shouting that an opportunity has come, telling you that those people are just fools. If you don't sell now, the smart ones will, and if you hold onto your coins, they will depreciate significantly, indirectly making you a bag holder. Be careful, brother, making money in the crypto world is too difficult now, and you can't afford to squander your capital. $ZRO $STG

Smart people always sell during a surge because they know that surges are not sustainable. Bag holders, on the other hand, always think that such surges will continue, only to find out that they are the only ones left.
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Have you seen so many malicious agreements, project parties, market makers, and KOLs in the circle? Have they been punished? Not a single one? $OM $MOVE and $RIVER
Have you seen so many malicious agreements, project parties, market makers, and KOLs in the circle? Have they been punished? Not a single one? $OM $MOVE and $RIVER
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The core idea can be summed up in one sentence: Buying Bitcoin below 65,000 in batches is perfectly fine $BTC . The bottom is likely to be around 50,000 to 60,000. Don't listen to those who randomly shout to buy $ETH , you must buy, but also wait for the next cycle to do the right side. Those messy altcoins, haven't cleared yet? Clearing now seems to have little significance. Especially those tokens that have large unlocks every month.
The core idea can be summed up in one sentence: Buying Bitcoin below 65,000 in batches is perfectly fine $BTC . The bottom is likely to be around 50,000 to 60,000. Don't listen to those who randomly shout to buy $ETH , you must buy, but also wait for the next cycle to do the right side. Those messy altcoins, haven't cleared yet? Clearing now seems to have little significance. Especially those tokens that have large unlocks every month.
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If you are very dissatisfied with Binance, do not buy any coins other than Bitcoin $BTC . Currently, $BNB seems that Binance will not be affected negatively. Many altcoins still cannot be bought, let's endure a difficult period first.
If you are very dissatisfied with Binance, do not buy any coins other than Bitcoin $BTC . Currently, $BNB seems that Binance will not be affected negatively. Many altcoins still cannot be bought, let's endure a difficult period first.
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If you are really disappointed with the cryptocurrency market, and have never bought stocks but still want to make money, go buy the entrepreneurship index and the technology innovation board index. There is still hope. $SOL $ETH $BNB
If you are really disappointed with the cryptocurrency market, and have never bought stocks but still want to make money, go buy the entrepreneurship index and the technology innovation board index. There is still hope. $SOL $ETH $BNB
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$ASTER Why is it constantly declining? Smart people can see the problem at a glance, while fools believe that with Zhao Changpeng's calls, the perpetual contract is popular, and there are buybacks, so it won't disappoint. If your logic for buying coins is based on this, then you won't lose this time, but you'll definitely lose big later. $BNB Early large holders, airdrop hunters, and unlocking are the three important selling pressures causing the constant decline in coin prices. I specifically use unlocking as an example; each month, 1% of the unlocked supply has a value of 56.41 million dollars. If you are an investor in unlocking, would you sell or not? Not selling is foolish. Currently, Aster's buyback rule is 20% to 40% of daily fees, and the fee revenue for the past 30 days is 24 million dollars, equivalent to 4.8 to 9.6 million dollars in buying power. This amount of money is completely insignificant compared to the selling pressure before. The overall market situation is bad, which is certainly an important reason. If it continues to be bad, $DYDX serves as a warning. Nowadays, I can still see novices taking over dYdX, which is disappointing. If I can persuade one, I will.
$ASTER Why is it constantly declining? Smart people can see the problem at a glance, while fools believe that with Zhao Changpeng's calls, the perpetual contract is popular, and there are buybacks, so it won't disappoint. If your logic for buying coins is based on this, then you won't lose this time, but you'll definitely lose big later. $BNB

Early large holders, airdrop hunters, and unlocking are the three important selling pressures causing the constant decline in coin prices. I specifically use unlocking as an example; each month, 1% of the unlocked supply has a value of 56.41 million dollars. If you are an investor in unlocking, would you sell or not? Not selling is foolish.

Currently, Aster's buyback rule is 20% to 40% of daily fees, and the fee revenue for the past 30 days is 24 million dollars, equivalent to 4.8 to 9.6 million dollars in buying power. This amount of money is completely insignificant compared to the selling pressure before.

The overall market situation is bad, which is certainly an important reason. If it continues to be bad, $DYDX serves as a warning. Nowadays, I can still see novices taking over dYdX, which is disappointing. If I can persuade one, I will.
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$SUI can observe the strength of this rebound, which is very weak. From my interactions with the SUI team, they are all lying flat, enjoying a leisurely life, so don't go and take over anymore. As long as there is an unlock every month, everyone is smart and must sell, or else the buyers will become the big losers. Many so-called leaders in the Asia-Pacific region live extravagant lives, and the money is plundered from these buyers. This is the harsh reality. There are too many air projects; when they rise, remember to sell. $US $NS
$SUI can observe the strength of this rebound, which is very weak. From my interactions with the SUI team, they are all lying flat, enjoying a leisurely life, so don't go and take over anymore. As long as there is an unlock every month, everyone is smart and must sell, or else the buyers will become the big losers. Many so-called leaders in the Asia-Pacific region live extravagant lives, and the money is plundered from these buyers. This is the harsh reality. There are too many air projects; when they rise, remember to sell. $US $NS
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#plasma $XPL Say something from the heart. If the market continues to sustain, or even touches around 100,000, then Plasma still has a chance for a big rebound. The main issue is that it dropped too harshly in the previous period, with a high point retracting by 10 times without any rebound. A lot of short-sell chips have already been gradually digested, and what remains is the severely trapped capital. This part of the capital will sell during the price increase, which will create resistance; therefore, the price won't suddenly surge. You can position with a small amount, buy slowly, and observe. Personally, I feel that its rebound is not yet complete.
#plasma $XPL Say something from the heart. If the market continues to sustain, or even touches around 100,000, then Plasma still has a chance for a big rebound. The main issue is that it dropped too harshly in the previous period, with a high point retracting by 10 times without any rebound.

A lot of short-sell chips have already been gradually digested, and what remains is the severely trapped capital. This part of the capital will sell during the price increase, which will create resistance; therefore, the price won't suddenly surge.

You can position with a small amount, buy slowly, and observe. Personally, I feel that its rebound is not yet complete.
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$BERA Saying it from the heart, I'm really worried about the safety of the founder Smokey (heard someone wanted to cut it off), down 16 times in a year, with gains not exceeding 1 time. The weekly chart shows a rare 12 consecutive losses, and soon it will unlock over 10% of the total supply, with more than 2% unlocking every month thereafter. VCs investing in this blockchain should be nailed to the pillory. Now there are too many tokens that can't be bought, even $SOL $SUI needs to be cautious.
$BERA Saying it from the heart, I'm really worried about the safety of the founder Smokey (heard someone wanted to cut it off), down 16 times in a year, with gains not exceeding 1 time. The weekly chart shows a rare 12 consecutive losses, and soon it will unlock over 10% of the total supply, with more than 2% unlocking every month thereafter. VCs investing in this blockchain should be nailed to the pillory.

Now there are too many tokens that can't be bought, even $SOL $SUI needs to be cautious.
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Listen to my advice, if you can sell, sell quickly. $SOPH $ANIME Don't let it rise again, thinking the bull market is going to continue, the counterfeit market is coming again. $GIGGLE Smart people always sell when prices soar, while novice traders like to chase high prices and end up being severely stuck, forced to cut losses amid continuous declines, suffering heavy losses. It's a bear market, and cryptocurrency prices will bounce like a bouncing ball on stairs, a prelude to further declines after previously falling.
Listen to my advice, if you can sell, sell quickly. $SOPH $ANIME Don't let it rise again, thinking the bull market is going to continue, the counterfeit market is coming again. $GIGGLE

Smart people always sell when prices soar, while novice traders like to chase high prices and end up being severely stuck, forced to cut losses amid continuous declines, suffering heavy losses.

It's a bear market, and cryptocurrency prices will bounce like a bouncing ball on stairs, a prelude to further declines after previously falling.
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Since I entered the industry, I have never seen such despairing emotions. In the past, no matter how much the market fell, everyone felt there was a future, that crypto would become mainstream. Now it seems that apart from $BTC and $ETH , too many others have been disproven. Many people have suffered significant losses in this cycle, and the wealth effect has completely vanished. I fear the entire industry may soon be gone. Those scoundrels and fraudsters who repeatedly issue tokens do not face any punishment, and this circle can only continue to struggle for survival. I think I need to consider changing careers.
Since I entered the industry, I have never seen such despairing emotions. In the past, no matter how much the market fell, everyone felt there was a future, that crypto would become mainstream. Now it seems that apart from $BTC and $ETH , too many others have been disproven.

Many people have suffered significant losses in this cycle, and the wealth effect has completely vanished.

I fear the entire industry may soon be gone.

Those scoundrels and fraudsters who repeatedly issue tokens do not face any punishment, and this circle can only continue to struggle for survival.

I think I need to consider changing careers.
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In the current market, the best approach is to stop trading. Do not let the market repeatedly hit you in high-difficulty situations. The market is terrible, and the vast majority of projects are almost unnecessary and meaningless to buy. $BTC Especially those founders who are almost dead yet still want to launch a worthless coin to squeeze the last bit of liquidity from the market; calling them social scum is not an exaggeration. They just want to sell their trash coins to fools and cash out themselves. $BERA Any new coin with an FDV exceeding 100 million should be approached with great caution. By the way, if you hate many of Binance's practices, the best way is to control yourself and avoid frequent trading on their platform. Start from yourself and let the exchanges feel the chill. $BNB
In the current market, the best approach is to stop trading. Do not let the market repeatedly hit you in high-difficulty situations. The market is terrible, and the vast majority of projects are almost unnecessary and meaningless to buy. $BTC

Especially those founders who are almost dead yet still want to launch a worthless coin to squeeze the last bit of liquidity from the market; calling them social scum is not an exaggeration. They just want to sell their trash coins to fools and cash out themselves. $BERA

Any new coin with an FDV exceeding 100 million should be approached with great caution. By the way, if you hate many of Binance's practices, the best way is to control yourself and avoid frequent trading on their platform. Start from yourself and let the exchanges feel the chill. $BNB
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Last time those who listened to my advice basically sold at a high point. This time I want to advise you to sell boldly $LUNC $LUNA . Those with positions should sell like crazy, don't hesitate. $USTC In this terrible market environment, there won't be any sustained counterfeit buying. Please give up the idea that the counterfeit currency will explode, and honestly do each trade well to earn profit. For any RSI that is overbought on the four-hour and daily charts, sell boldly. If you hesitate, you might get stuck at the top and may never be able to get out later.
Last time those who listened to my advice basically sold at a high point. This time I want to advise you to sell boldly $LUNC $LUNA . Those with positions should sell like crazy, don't hesitate. $USTC In this terrible market environment, there won't be any sustained counterfeit buying. Please give up the idea that the counterfeit currency will explode, and honestly do each trade well to earn profit.

For any RSI that is overbought on the four-hour and daily charts, sell boldly. If you hesitate, you might get stuck at the top and may never be able to get out later.
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Listen to my advice, really, the more it rises, the more you should sell. $SUI don't feel that the bull market might be back and can't help but want to take a gamble. The result is always that the motorcycle turns into a bicycle. $TURBO the coin price, ah, always has universal gravitation, if it rises too much, profit-taking always chooses to sell, trapping a large number of people who like to chase highs. $PARTI In the short term, there might be some rebounds, which is normal, because the previous drop was too severe. But brothers remember, the bear market coin price is like throwing a bouncy ball on the steps, every time it bounces up, it will continue to fall. If you can minimize your losses, then minimize your losses.
Listen to my advice, really, the more it rises, the more you should sell. $SUI don't feel that the bull market might be back and can't help but want to take a gamble. The result is always that the motorcycle turns into a bicycle. $TURBO the coin price, ah, always has universal gravitation, if it rises too much, profit-taking always chooses to sell, trapping a large number of people who like to chase highs. $PARTI

In the short term, there might be some rebounds, which is normal, because the previous drop was too severe. But brothers remember, the bear market coin price is like throwing a bouncy ball on the steps, every time it bounces up, it will continue to fall.

If you can minimize your losses, then minimize your losses.
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$MON Smart people know that technology is technology, and the community is the community. There is no necessary connection between doing well in the former two and the rise in coin prices. If it were the previous bull market cycle, perhaps someone would buy in; now, in a bear market, don't be fooled into buying only to get trapped, ultimately having to cut losses and leave. Monad hasn't done anything wrong, it's just a matter of timing, which was too poor. I originally thought it could issue coins at the beginning of 2024, but relying on memes and the community, it dragged on until the end of 2025, and the vast majority of retail investors have perished. It resembles the past $ICP . Some time ago, I reminded everyone not to rush into privacy; if you're still trapped at $ZEC , give yourself a few slaps.
$MON Smart people know that technology is technology, and the community is the community. There is no necessary connection between doing well in the former two and the rise in coin prices. If it were the previous bull market cycle, perhaps someone would buy in; now, in a bear market, don't be fooled into buying only to get trapped, ultimately having to cut losses and leave.

Monad hasn't done anything wrong, it's just a matter of timing, which was too poor. I originally thought it could issue coins at the beginning of 2024, but relying on memes and the community, it dragged on until the end of 2025, and the vast majority of retail investors have perished. It resembles the past $ICP .

Some time ago, I reminded everyone not to rush into privacy; if you're still trapped at $ZEC , give yourself a few slaps.
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Let me share some more thoughts. Recently, didn't the country implement strict measures again? Now, you can look for those projects created by Chinese or overseas Chinese, such as $SAHARA , just short sell with low leverage $PLUME . These people, many teams and project founders, sell coins whenever they can. After selling, $SOLV , they don't plan to return to the country. Earning a little money is still earning a little. Let me give a few examples.
Let me share some more thoughts. Recently, didn't the country implement strict measures again? Now, you can look for those projects created by Chinese or overseas Chinese, such as $SAHARA , just short sell with low leverage $PLUME . These people, many teams and project founders, sell coins whenever they can. After selling, $SOLV , they don't plan to return to the country. Earning a little money is still earning a little. Let me give a few examples.
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$SAHARA After the scandal emerged and plummeted, it has proven to have isolated all believers and buyers. Take my advice, never touch these kinds of coins that crash once, either it’s market makers selling off, or the project team, sigh. It's so bad. Also, some recent scandals $NIL and the previous $MOVE . In this market, the fools have all lost and exited, leaving only the savvy.
$SAHARA After the scandal emerged and plummeted, it has proven to have isolated all believers and buyers. Take my advice, never touch these kinds of coins that crash once, either it’s market makers selling off, or the project team, sigh. It's so bad. Also, some recent scandals $NIL and the previous $MOVE .

In this market, the fools have all lost and exited, leaving only the savvy.
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$NIL If a project party has a scandal, brother, listen to my advice, never buy or sell this coin again. The tokens of this project party, after being sold off by market makers, did not dare to disclose the names of the market makers. I can understand it is to prepare for negotiations, but this behavior has basically trapped most buyers severely, and it has also seriously undermined community confidence. Don't be fooled by so-called buybacks, if you look at the K-line chart, it is completely useless. The whole industry is heading towards a bear market, and when liquidity is exhausted, even the most impressive buybacks are useless. The lesson from the past is: $MOVE
$NIL If a project party has a scandal, brother, listen to my advice, never buy or sell this coin again. The tokens of this project party, after being sold off by market makers, did not dare to disclose the names of the market makers. I can understand it is to prepare for negotiations, but this behavior has basically trapped most buyers severely, and it has also seriously undermined community confidence.

Don't be fooled by so-called buybacks, if you look at the K-line chart, it is completely useless. The whole industry is heading towards a bear market, and when liquidity is exhausted, even the most impressive buybacks are useless.

The lesson from the past is: $MOVE
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$ONDO I can't help but say a few words about the project party. Their marketing is top-notch, their narrative is top-notch, but the coin price has nothing to do with me. Every time RWA discusses the industry, it's hot, but unfortunately, there isn't a leading token that can really ignite the fire. The price of ondo is not up to the task. In January next year, there will be a massive unlock, and there will probably be a lot of selling pressure, so be careful. $PLUME definitely should not be bought. If you get stuck, don't blame others.
$ONDO I can't help but say a few words about the project party. Their marketing is top-notch, their narrative is top-notch, but the coin price has nothing to do with me. Every time RWA discusses the industry, it's hot, but unfortunately, there isn't a leading token that can really ignite the fire. The price of ondo is not up to the task. In January next year, there will be a massive unlock, and there will probably be a lot of selling pressure, so be careful. $PLUME definitely should not be bought. If you get stuck, don't blame others.
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