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U.S. Markit composite PMI hits more than two-year high in June
Eurozone manufacturing PMI hits 6-month low in June
The Japanese yen fell for seven consecutive days, approaching the 160 mark
Nvidia's market value evaporates by more than $100 billion again
Apple says it won't be able to launch AI features in EU market this year
The city of Sidon in southern Lebanon was hit by Israeli airstrikes, the first in this round of conflict
Foreign Minister says decision on Hezbollah's attacks will be made soon
First LNG carrier to pass through Red Sea since January
US closes Russian visa centers in Washington and New York
The three major exchanges have resumed IPO acceptance and meeting
Market Review
Last Friday (June 21), stimulated by the favorable U.S. PMI data, the U.S. dollar index rose as high as 0.3% and once rose above 105.90, setting a new seven-week high since May 1, and rose 0.2% for the whole week, rising for three consecutive weeks. The Japanese yen set a record for the longest consecutive decline since March, falling for seven consecutive days as of last Friday, approaching the 160 level. U.S. Treasury yields fell to a daily low before the release of U.S. PMI data, and then rebounded and turned higher. The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which is more sensitive to monetary policy, rose by as much as 2 basis points during the day and approached 4.75%, rising by more than 2 basis points for the whole week. The 10-year base bond yield rose by as much as 3 basis points to 4.28%, up nearly 4 basis points for the whole week.
As the stronger-than-expected PMI data may prompt "the Fed to send a tougher signal", traders are considering the Fed's subsequent moves. Spot gold fell below $2,320/ounce during the session, with a daily decline of nearly 2%, falling nearly $50 from the intraday high, and finally closed down 1.62% at $2,321.87/ounce. Spot silver fell below the $30 mark and closed down 3.88% at $29.55/ounce. Spot palladium soared more than 10% during the session, and then suddenly gave up most of its gains. Analysis pointed out that the wide range of intraday fluctuations may be related to traders' short-covering behavior.
Crude oil fell after entering the overbought zone. WTI crude oil closed down 0.83% at $80.96 per barrel; Brent crude oil closed down 0.66% at $84.32 per barrel. However, amid signs of reduced U.S. inventories and rising fuel demand, international oil prices still managed to record two consecutive weeks of increases, rising more than 3% for the week.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 0.04%, the S&P 500 fell 0.16%, and the Nasdaq fell 0.18%. The S&P rose for three consecutive weeks, the Nasdaq fell from its new high for two consecutive days, erasing its weekly gains, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose for four consecutive days to stand at a four-week high. Nvidia (NVDA.O) continued to fall 3.22%, falling for two consecutive days, and its market value evaporated more than $200 billion, falling back to $3.1 trillion, lower than Microsoft and Apple. Dell (DELL.N) fell 2.2%, and Super Micro Computer (SMCI.O) fell 1.3%. Apple (AAPL.O) fell 1.04%, and it will not launch artificial intelligence functions in the European Union this year.
European stocks closed down collectively, with Germany's DAX30 index closing down 0.40%; Britain's FTSE 100 index closing down 0.49%; France's CAC40 index closing down 0.56% (French stocks rose for the whole week); Europe's Stoxx 50 index closed down 1.04%; Spain's IBEX35 index closed down 1.21%; Italy's FTSE MIB index closed down 1.10%. Risk aversion caused the French and German 10-year bond yield spread to close at its widest level since 2012.
The main stock indices of Hong Kong stocks fluctuated at a low level last Friday. The Hang Seng Index fell nearly 2% in the morning session, and the decline narrowed slightly in the afternoon. The Hang Seng Technology Index fell more than 2.5% in the morning session, and maintained a low fluctuation in the afternoon. As of the close, the Hang Seng Index closed down 1.67%, up 0.48% last week; the Hang Seng Technology Index closed up 1.76%, down 0.17% last week. The turnover of the Hang Seng Index market last Friday was HK$129.076 billion. On the market, Evergrande and new energy vehicles and other sectors rose; Evergrande Auto (00708.HK) closed up nearly 60%. In terms of individual stocks, Changjiu Shares (06959.HK) rose more than 40%; Dongfang Zhenxuan (01797.HK) fell more than 4%, China National Offshore Oil Corporation fell more than 3%, SMIC (00981.HK) and Meituan (03690.HK) fell more than 2%.
The three major A-share indexes fluctuated and consolidated. As of the close, the Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.24% to 2998.14 points, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 0.04%, and the ChiNext Index fell 0.39%. On the market, the new town concept set off a daily limit surge, with many stocks such as high-tech development and new cities hitting the daily limit; in addition, the weight loss drug concept, human brain engineering concept, breeding industry, building materials, chemical fiber and other sectors rose at the top, while the lithography machine concept, brewing, culture, education and leisure, coal and other sectors fell at the top. About 2,600 stocks in the two markets fell, with a total transaction volume of about 620 billion yuan.
International News
1. The UK manufacturing PMI in June recorded a preliminary value of 51.4, a 23-month high. The UK service PMI in June recorded a preliminary value of 51.2, a 7-month low. The UK composite PMI in June recorded a preliminary value of 51.7, a 7-month low. The money market fully digested the expectation that the Bank of England would cut interest rates by 25 basis points twice this year.
2. The preliminary value of the Eurozone manufacturing PMI in June was 45.6, the lowest in six months. The preliminary value of the Eurozone service PMI in June was 52.6, the lowest in three months. The preliminary value of the Eurozone composite PMI in June was 50.8, the lowest in three months. Analysts commented on the Eurozone PMI: service industry inflation is still high, and the ECB is unlikely to cut interest rates in July.
3. Bullard, the former hawk of the Federal Reserve: Although inflation data has raised hopes for a rate cut in September, the pace of policy easing will still be slow.
4. The preliminary value of the S&P Global Composite PMI in the United States in June was 54.6, a 26-month high; the preliminary value of the service industry PMI was 55.1, a 26-month high; the preliminary value of the manufacturing PMI was 51.7, a 3-month high.
5. Japan's core CPI in May was 2.5% year-on-year, remaining at or above the Bank of Japan's 2% target for the 26th consecutive month, but the CPI excluding fresh food and energy slowed for the ninth consecutive month. Sources said the Japanese Ministry of Finance is considering reducing the issuance of additional ultra-long-term Japanese government bonds in an auction to increase liquidity.
6. The EU will launch accession negotiations for Ukraine and Moldova on June 25.
7. The United States closed Russia's visa centers in Washington and New York, and Russia said it would respond. The Moscow Exchange said that due to the US sanctions, some customers' foreign exchange margins were frozen.
8. The Ukrainian army used five ATACMS missiles equipped with cluster bomb heads to attack the city of Sevastopol, which has caused 5 deaths and 124 injuries.
9. Japan has introduced a new round of sanctions against Russia. The Russian Foreign Ministry said it will take further severe countermeasures against Japan.
10. The first liquefied natural gas carrier to cross the Red Sea since January this year. US media said that an explosion occurred near a merchant ship in the Gulf of Aden, which may be a new move by the Houthis to attack the waterway. The Houthis claimed to have attacked the USS Eisenhower, a US aircraft carrier, but US officials denied it.
11. The city of Sidon in southern Lebanon was hit by Israeli airstrikes, the first time in this round of conflict. Israeli Foreign Minister Katz said that Israel would not allow "Lebanese Hezbollah to continue to attack the country's territory and people" and that Israel would soon make the necessary decision.
12. The U.S. Navy's nuclear-powered aircraft carrier USS Roosevelt will be deployed to the Middle East this week.
13. Japan plans to establish an economic security think tank within one to two years.
14. A nuclear power plant in South Korea suddenly leaked, and about 2.3 tons of stored water leaked into the sea through the drain outlet.
15. Apple plans to expand its head-mounted display into multiple product categories, and the first step of the plan is the international release of Vision Pro. Apple discussed cooperation with Meta and plans to introduce Meta's generative artificial intelligence model into Apple Intelligence. Due to the EU Digital Markets Act, Apple will not launch artificial intelligence features in the EU this year.
Domestic News
1. The two high courts and three ministries jointly issued opinions on punishing "Taiwan independence" diehards for splitting the country and inciting the crime of splitting the country in accordance with the law. Wu Qian, spokesman for the Ministry of National Defense, answered reporters' questions about the new round of US arms sales to Taiwan: The Chinese People's Liberation Army will comprehensively strengthen its military training and preparations, and resolutely crush all "Taiwan independence" secessionist plots.
2. Ministry of Commerce: Anti-dumping duties will continue to be imposed on imported styrene originating from South Korea, Taiwan and the United States for a period of 5 years.
3. Notice from the General Office of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs on stabilizing the development of beef cattle production.
4. Japan will impose sanctions on Chinese companies and foreign trade. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs expresses strong dissatisfaction and resolute opposition.
5. The spokesperson of the Ministry of Commerce answered questions from reporters regarding recent media reports that the EU is worried that the escalation of Sino-EU trade frictions may trigger a "trade war". China and the EU have agreed to launch consultations on the EU's anti-subsidy investigation into Chinese electric vehicles.
6. Ministry of Foreign Affairs: Take countermeasures against Lockheed Martin entities and senior executives.
7. Premier Li Qiang will attend the 15th Summer Davos Forum in Dalian on June 25.
8. The acceptance and submission of IPO applications at the three major exchanges have all resumed.
9. The Long March 2C carrier rocket carrying the Sino-French astronomical satellite was launched into space.
10. Polish President Duda arrived in Beijing, officially starting his state visit to China.
11. Lanzhou, Gansu: Cancel restrictive measures such as purchase restrictions, sales restrictions, and price filing.
12. Nantong, Jiangsu: The maximum housing provident fund loan amount is 2.7 million yuan, and talents can receive a maximum of 1.5 million yuan in housing purchase subsidies.
13. The cumulative crude oil production of my country's largest self-operated offshore oil field has exceeded 100 million tons.
14. The wholesale reference price of loose bottles of Feitian Moutai fell to 2,140 yuan, a drop of nearly 100 yuan in a single day.
15. The insurance industry is making every effort to cope with the rainstorm disaster in the south, and has received reports of estimated losses of 619 million yuan.
16. The total industrial output value of Shanghai Lingang has increased tenfold in five years.
Risk Warning
☆ 07:50, the Bank of Japan released a summary of the opinions of the review committee members of the June monetary policy meeting; Bank of America expects that the minutes of the Bank of Japan's meeting are expected to indicate that it will significantly reduce bond purchases and adopt a hawkish attitude on the path of the policy interest rate.
☆ 16:00, Germany releases the June IFO business climate index;
☆ 18:00, the UK announces the difference in CBI industrial orders in June;
☆ 20:30, 2025 FOMC voting member and Chicago Fed President Goolsbee was interviewed by CNBC;
☆ 22:30, the United States releases the Dallas Fed Business Activity Index for June;
☆ At 01:30 the next day, Bank of Canada Governor Macklem delivered a speech;
☆ At 02:00 the next day, Fed Chair Daly delivered a speech on monetary policy and the economy.
The article is forwarded from: Jinshi Data
