The current trend of the crypto market seems to break the traditional cycle pattern. In the past, Bitcoin and Ethereum led the market to rise, followed by altcoins and so-called "air coins", and finally the bull market ended after the market enthusiasm was high. However, the current market pattern seems different.
Although Bitcoin has set a record high, the market does not seem to respond as enthusiastically as expected. At the same time, the crazy rise of meme coins is in sharp contrast to the dismal performance of altcoins. Although the prices of Bitcoin and Ethereum remain high, the coldness of on-chain activities is reminiscent of the silence of the bear market.
The current crypto market ecology seems unusually cold, on-chain activities are in a downturn, and market volatility is relatively small. This situation is confusing: on the one hand, the high price of Bitcoin and the upcoming halving event still make the market full of expectations; on the other hand, the downturn of various ecological data and the decline of altcoins make people feel the fatigue of the market.
Looking ahead, if there is no major event as a driver, the market may enter a relatively stable stage. The price of Bitcoin may fluctuate at a high level, and the fluctuation range will not be too drastic unless there is an unforeseen black swan event that breaks this pattern. Altcoins may continue to face pressure, and institutional capital outflows may lead to their continued weakness. The market may have some hot spots from time to time to attract investors' attention, but overall, the market will present a relatively flat trend.
In such a market environment, investors need to remain calm and rational. The best strategy may be to enter the market every time the market panics and stabilizes, and withdraw in time after earning small-band profits. Don't be overly nostalgic or superstitious about a certain trend. Wait until there is a new clear trend in the market before making a longer-term investment decision.
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