#币安合约锦标赛 #美国5月CPI超预期回落 #ZKsync空投争议 #MegadropLista #meme板块关注热点
The market has not seen a major correction recently, and has been mainly volatile. However, the copycat stocks have continued to increase their shipments, and the declines have brought sweetness to people time and time again, but have also been quietly castrated without them noticing. The recent market conditions are related to three important node events.
(1) Non-farm data from one week ago.
Because the data performance was too good, the market expected the interest rate cut to be postponed, and some professionals even predicted that "there will be no interest rate cut this year." The market began to fall, with Bitcoin and Ethereum both falling by less than 10 points, and the altcoins all fell sharply.
(2) CPI data.
A few hours after the release of the data (preference), the market rose, because the negative impact of the non-agricultural data had been digested within a week, bottomed out and rebounded rapidly. After the positive CPI appeared, the market continued to rise, trying to break through 80,000.
(3) Then the Eagle King released another hawk call, and the market fell back again.
Compared with the Fed's previous style, I think the data and statements this time have eased. Now that the US stock market has risen sharply and the BTC ETF is still in a net inflow state, it can be said that the Fed's top brother has not taken any action for the time being, but the overall trend of interest rate cuts has been formed. If you bear with it for a while, the market will fall even if the interest rate is cut, and the data will fall even if it is good or bad. For the time being, these aspects are just repeated. I only know that it will definitely fall on the way. In November, the realization of the real interest rate cut has actually been hyped up in advance.
Currently, the bulls are struggling at over 66,000. 66,000 is still a strong support. If this level is not broken, you can go long and the stop loss will not be too large. Before it falls below the second line of defense, which is around 64,300, we still cannot be overly bearish.
(1) The ideal scenario for bulls
It will stop falling at around 61,000, forming a head and shoulders bottom rising relay, which is very good for the future market development. The two trends have been drawn for many days.
(2) Black Swan Script
It is about seeing a big pie starting with 5 or even 4. At present, I still can’t see it, so I won’t elaborate on it. Although I can’t see it, I should have a mental preparation.
What we see currently is that the altcoins are still in internal circulation, and the funds from the ETF cannot flow into the altcoins. Not now and not in the future. So how should we deal with the current situation?
Because BTC is at a critical point, just hold on to BTC. Don’t buy the bottom of the altcoins as they fall further. If you are really optimistic about XX altcoin based on your own cognition, just hold on to your bottom position. If the stepmother (BTC) is in a bad mood, the son will definitely be beaten. Wait until BTC adjusts its shape and confirms it.
So do altcoins have a chance?
There will be periodic MEME coins that will explode (runes and inscriptions are also MEME), and there are also hot money god disks, such as trb high, but how much do you dare to buy? So everyone take care, if you have 5,000 US dollars, then use 4,500 US dollars to buy BTC and 500 US dollars to buy MEME. This is the mainstream way of playing in the current market;
I have done everything I can before the decline. The next step is to find opportunities to maneuver. After all, what bastard can make money forever? You still have to take the retracements you should take, as long as you take them in the right posture and stay elegant. Now it is really not the case that the bull is gone. Those who say that the bull is gone should be blocked. Don't be cheated of chips.
