#美联储利率决策即将公布 #IO价格预测

As the Fed counts down, the euro declines and the stock market shakes! Recommended reading index: ★★★★

1. Although the eurozone has boosted local economic expectations after the interest rate cut, the euro is still facing a sell-off in the short term, which is also my biggest concern. The short-term sell-off of euro capital may provide fresh blood to US dollar capital again, resulting in a significant reduction in the expectation of interest rate cuts. US stocks are currently mixed.

2. French President Macron, the first news after the eurozone decided to cut interest rates was bad news. Macron lost in the vote. At the same time, Macron decided to dissolve the National Assembly and change it to a legislative vote. I believe Macron is still disappointed with the National Assembly, and the so-called talks with Biden before, as well as the silent period before the eurozone interest rate cut, are also quite controversial.

3. Wall Street Morgan and Citigroup and other large institutions reminded traders to prepare for the macro-emotional game on Wednesday. Let me say that the best preparation for the meeting is to wait and see. The more you participate at this time, the more miserable you will die.

4. At present, the Fed's interest rate decision on Wednesday morning is basically the same as before. It basically keeps the interest rate unchanged. The more controversial is the change of this period's dot plot. At present, 41% of economists believe that the Fed will cut interest rates twice this year, but more books in the market believe that the Fed will only cut interest rates once, or even directly do not talk about cutting interest rates. The game point is still the dot plot in the second quarter of this year.

5. Nvidia's stock price opened on the first day after the split, which was basically the same as my expectation. It encountered Sell the news at the opening, and then it rose. The current market value has reached 3.01 trillion. At the same time, Apple's stock price fell in the short term after releasing positive sentiment, and its market value fell below 3 trillion US dollars. The two sides changed roles again. Nvidia surpassed Apple again in the short term to become the second largest company in the world by market value.

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