Recently, the CPI and PPI data are not good. Inflation is 1% higher, and Powell has postponed the interest rate cut. In fact, inflation has little impact on us retail investors. It mainly affects the capital cost of large capital, and then the withdrawal of large capital drives the market down. Because once the market is not good, large capital can't bear it, and retail investors are actually not affected. This kind of bad news cannot be predicted, because I always think that raising interest rates so high will not solve inflation. It is just a matter of time at most. As for the time issue, we just have to wait patiently. (Tonight's data will be more important)
This trend does not rebound at all, and those who are fully invested will definitely not be able to get out of the trap. Since you are trapped now, no matter how you operate, it will be wrong, so don't operate now, wait a month and see, if you have bullets, you can pull up the average price, if you don't have bullets, just lie down in advance, anyway, the assets are floating losses, if you don't sell, it's floating losses, if you sell, it's real losses. Now is better than 22 years, everything is moving in a good direction.
In fact, bad news is a good thing, especially for the long-term optimistic market. Needless to say, the new currency, no one cares about the falling dogs, but many old Bs have fallen to the current state, almost lower than 22 years, and now some people are starting to see it return to zero. It has only fallen for a month and it is seen as zero. If I were a retail investor, I would also see it return to zero. The more people are scared away, the lighter the car will be, and the lighter the car is, the higher it can pull.
The current mood is a bit like that at the end of 2022, but it is much better than that at the end of 2022. At that time, FTX went bankrupt, CZ violated the law, CELS serially exploded, etc. When it is bad, look at whether there is good news in the future, and when it is good, look at what bad news there is in the future, and invest rationally
In general, if you are optimistic about the end of the year and next year, then the idea for the second half of this year is to build a position and buy, but don't buy too quickly. It's not necessary to buy all at once. If the market continues to fall, it's best to buy in batches, such as buying a little every half a month or a month. No one can buy at the absolute bottom, but you can buy at the relative bottom.
I think with this kind of operation, it is highly likely that you will make money by the end of this year or even next year.
Why is it becoming increasingly difficult to make money in the market?
The reason for this phenomenon is that various roles have joined, causing the long-short game to become more and more complicated. Since the establishment of BTC, various roles have continued to join. In the past two years, funds from US stock ETFs, funds from listed companies, national reserve funds, etc. And behind the US stock ETFs are a large number of different institutions and funds in the US stock market.
Which of the above is not a big shot holding a huge amount of money. The more people there are, the more gambling there will be. If someone wants to dump the market to absorb the chips, the other party will directly buy the chips of the dumper. If someone wants to continue to pull the market, he may be dumped by the other party. Moreover, in the capital market, there are no eternal friends or eternal enemies. Today's buyers may become sellers tomorrow. Just like everyone is used to the net inflow of ETFs, suddenly one day there is a huge outflow of ETFs.
When there are more players in the market, the control of any one party over the market becomes very low. Therefore, even the dog dealers don’t know whether the market will rise or fall next. They all test the market carefully and wait for the reaction of other parties in the market before deciding on the next operation.
Suggestions for operating in this market
Now many people think, give me back my money, I won't play anymore. The market is very difficult, will it be impossible to make money in the future? In fact, there is no need, because there are still very high certainty opportunities to make money. Fixed investment in BTC may be a good choice, but it is more suitable for large funds. It is unlikely for small funds to get rich overnight.
Therefore, in addition to this, there is still a way to get rich quickly, which is both easy and simple. The logic is that since it is very difficult to predict the market situation, we will not predict it. When the market moves out, we will act (this is also the idea I have been conveying to everyone, don’t guess the rise and fall, just make preparations for both hands, no matter whether it rises or falls, we have ways to deal with it).
In the cryptocurrency circle, there is a very certain phenomenon. After a period of falling market, BTC acts as a weather vane. When it starts to rise, the altcoin will start a wave of market. Therefore, our operation is also very simple. Wait for BTC to soar and then buy altcoins. In essence, this is a period of rising trend.
The entry signal is very easy to judge. For novices, there is a very easy standard to judge a rising trend, which is the continuous rise of BTC, and it is not one or two big positive lines. Anyone can feel that BTC is already very strong. For those who understand technology and trends, they can judge a little earlier, such as some important pressure points, volume, etc.
Buying altcoins is what we do. All kinds of capital games before will become advantages at this time. Because there will be full game, even if BTC has reached the top when buying altcoins, it will still take 1 to 2 months to form the top and then fall, which gives altcoins enough hype time. And more importantly, in a trend market, the altcoin sector will be rotated.
This is the best operation plan for retail investors in my opinion in this market now and in the future. In essence, it is a trend market.
1) The judgment is simple, and the continued rise of BTC is the basis for trend judgment.
2) The operation is simple and most of the time is spent on rest.
3) High accuracy and quite good profits.
Later, I will bring you analysis of leading projects in other tracks. If you are interested, you can click to follow. I will also organize some cutting-edge consulting and project reviews from time to time. Welcome all like-minded people in the cryptocurrency circle to explore together. If you have any questions, you can comment and ask questions
