1. The interest rate of leverage on a single or multiple platforms, including but not limited to: contract rate (I won’t go into details about this, a positive number means that the longs pay the shorts, and vice versa, so there is the term fuel), leveraged loan interest rate (essentially the difference between deposits and loans, for example, if the loan interest rate is abnormal, it is only a few points in normal years, and suddenly soars to more than ten points, it means there is a risk in the near future), deposit interest rate (for example, Binance’s earning coin is essentially the situation of leveraged loan). If you can calculate the leverage situation of the entire platform (including large defi platforms), the accuracy of the prediction will be very high.

2. Information. This is just auxiliary. The information that most people get is at least second-hand, and the time lag is quite serious. People who get first-hand information have basically set up the game. The accuracy rate is basically not that high, and often the information is just for you to see, in order to help the people who set up the game.

3. Market sentiment. The most common ones are the fear index and everyone's opinions. The more panic there is, the higher the risk will be, because it is easy to have a stampede-like decline. This is relatively inaccurate. In fact, it is just a statistical sampling, unless the sample coverage is very complete or very accurate.

4. Monitor some wallets (I can only read other people's news, because the cryptocurrency circle is only a part of my life, not all of it, and I am not a full-time investor, so there is no need to do this). For example, the wallets of big firms, the wallets of big Vs, the wallets of whales of projects I follow, etc. The accuracy is actually acceptable. For example, if a whale wants to dump the market, it basically has to ship out through the deep CEX, so that the monitoring on both sides can see it. However, doing this requires technology.

5. Open a single position contract with a small amount of money in it, because this is only used to monitor instantaneous large fluctuations. I don't know if Binance can do this because I can't find the warning setting. When I was in a certain currency exchange, it was monitored in this way, and SMS and email reminders would be sent. At the same time, open a 1x long order and a 1x short order. Because of hedging, the liquidation amount of the two orders will be much higher than that of a single order. Then set a warning reminder.

Seeing the ups and downs of the past two days suddenly made me think of sharing this, I hope it will be of some help to you.