I found that many people now have a consensus that 2024 is the bull market in the cryptocurrency circle. Why?
2025 Coin Circle Bull Market Script Deduction
The basis of the bull market:
External environmental factors:
The Fed's interest rate hike has ended, and the United States has started a new round of large-scale money printing. Crypto assets have become one of the important reservoirs.
Industry internal factors:
The 2022-2023 bear market has been fully cleaned, risks have been cleared, and obstacles have been eliminated.
The Ethereum ecosystem is prosperous and developing, and the ETH deflation mechanism has a good fundamentals.
In the bear market, the dealer smashes the market through various negative factors to collect chips, and institutions follow closely to enter the market, and the main layout is completed.
Bull market process:
The sign of the official launch of the bull market: In May 2024, BTC will be halved, and the four-year cycle is the strongest consensus in the crypto market.
The main force attracts traffic outside the circle through various narratives and wealth effects, and a large number of users and funds enter the market, thereby driving the market up.
It is highly likely that Bitcoin and Ethereum will suck blood and rise, and then the copycat will make up for the rise. During this period, there may be a large-scale callback wash.
The public chain ecosystem is booming, various high-quality applications are being implemented, and the number of crypto users continues to increase, and the industry is experiencing unprecedented explosive growth.
Key narratives:
Web3: The most promising sector in the next bull market, and also a key area for attracting external funds.
L2: With the prosperity and development of the Ethereum ecosystem, L2 will be one of the most watched sectors in the new bull market, and it has great room for appreciation in the long run.
Metaverse: The last bull market was only a concept hype, and the new bull market will have more landing applications.
DeFi: Subverting the traditional financial industry is an important part of the decentralized revolution, and there is still a lot of room for development.
GameFi: The last bull market brought a wave of heat to the circle. Although the results were not ideal, it was also a pioneering attempt.
NFT: NFT has a lot of room for imagination in the future, and it will not be limited to the hype of small pictures.
Others: AI, social, Ethereum ecology, decentralized concepts, etc.
As the market progresses, you can pay attention to the investment direction of leading investment institutions such as Binance and A16Z.
Signals of the bull market peaking:
The main force releases positive news, the media outside the circle rush to report, celebrities are collectively bullish, retail newcomers enter the market to chase high prices, and the main force takes the opportunity to sell a large amount of cash.
The increase is too high, the bubble is too big, the new funds cannot maintain the bubble, the volume is insufficient, and it will naturally fall.
The United States has stopped or slowed down its monetary easing measures and started a new round of interest rate hikes and balance sheet reduction plans.
This round of bull market will end in the second half of 2025.
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