Bitcoin's upcoming halving has become a major driver of speculation in the market. VeChain founder Sunny Lu claims that the increasing influence of regulations will significantly affect the course of Bitcoin following the upcoming halving event.
“When we compare this cycle with the previous one, the impact of regulation becomes apparent,” Lu said in an email. Lu also noted that regulatory actions have triggered significant price movements since the last halving in May 2020.
The VeChain founder recalled that after the previous halving in May 2020, the Bitcoin price reached all-time highs. Lu mentioned three major price peaks triggered by Coinbase's IPO in April 2021, the approval of Bitcoin futures ETFs in November of the same year, and the approval of spot BTC ETFs in January of this year.
“This was the first cycle to see post-halving all-time highs, which in addition to the psychological impact of the halving on the market, was also triggered by regulatory developments,” Lu added.
VeChain founder stated that there has been a shift from the idea that the impact of the halving was traditionally based on supply dynamics to a more comprehensive consideration of macroeconomic factors. Lu concluded his words as follows:
"Now, the impact of macro forces is starting to come to the fore, rather than the price increase caused by the natural reduction in the supply placed on the market."
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