➡️The week has been updated, and with it the 1st TF.

Looking at everything that is happening, I can conclude that the 1d TF arrives in a sideways state, for about 35 days +/- and it is clear that the “spring is compressing.”

➡️To get the answer “which way?” you need to understand the technical and fundamental side of the issue!

1️⃣Техническая:

➡️1dTF locally looks long, but this is all in the area of ​​“noise”, i.e. most often this local long is a “local long”, followed by a correction, i.e. its continuation for a conditional (at least) reboot, but this can develop into a global long - this is trading! Although the percentage is lower.

If we try to estimate the height of such a long, we can see the zone 72200 + the block 72900-73650 is superimposed on this (see screenshot), but at the same time we already get a “magnet zone” in the area of ​​68180-68830. The simplest and most visible option is a movement to the area 72200-73650 with a subsequent rollback to 68180-68830, this option fits into the theory of “noise in the form of a local long on a 1d TF”, but the ideal thing would be to immediately go to the area 68180-68830 t .To. in this case, we would have more prospects for going long, then that “possible noise” could be transformed into something more powerful, for example, an overshoot of Bitcoin prices with all that it implies.

P.S. I'd like to note! In case of increased volumes, the magnet zone 68180-68830 will lose strength and will be realized only in 2025-2026.

➡️Weekly TF + 2 weeks. TF looks tired and overstressed, but this is at first glance, but at second glance it seems again...

But even there there is a section of “noise” only for the short; in our situation in this phase and at this stage, more often we get a sideways move, which is what we observe. In general, this week, I think on Friday I will devote a lot of time to this issue to show you all the intricacies. But one thing I can say for sure is that senior TFs and hyper senior TFs always behave differently than standard ones, for example, not like 1d TFs, but still, “fatigue” is visible and therefore in this regard we must be careful with you and not accept hasty decisions. The market does not allow long trades right now, so scalping and short trades should become a regular activity for you at this stage. I think it's not just that! At this stage, a large % of traders will make their mistakes!

2️⃣Фундаментальная:

➡️This week we will have inflation data released (on the 10th, i.e. on Wednesday at 15:30 Moscow time), the forecast there is negative, i.e. indicators are increasing (see screenshot), which means that the Fed most likely will not reduce the rate, which means this is negative in the long term, although everything is much more complicated than it seems because High-risk assets (cryptocurrency and gold and other metals) are an excellent means of protecting banknotes from inflation. Therefore +/-. But I want to talk about something else, because... we have data coming out on the 10th, and the market often likes to play on these events by increasing volatility, then taking into account the “local long at least” for the 1d TF, we can come to Wednesday in a state of completion of this local long, after which a correction MAY follow .To. We have halving ahead, i.e. approximately April 18-22 +/- (they spoke in more detail in the video on Friday here), so the market behavior before and after this event is absolutely unpredictable because even now we see behavior that has never happened before! We'll discuss this point in more detail this week.

✅CONCLUSION: We get a “turbulence zone” with several scenarios and essentially unpredictable market behavior, but I would highlight a couple of IMPORTANT options for myself:

-Local long on 1d TF with subsequent correction (or sideways) in the period from April 10 +/- a day or two before the halving on April 18-22 +/-

-Local long turning into medium-term/global long ignoring April 10 +/- up to halving, after correction (or sideways) within the weekly/2-week TF +/-

*-utopia if the “bull run” begins immediately after the halving, which is unlikely, but this is what happens, because Few people expect this and many “wait” for deeper pullbacks in order to get there, then there are two traps in such a scenario.