What will the non-agricultural data look like tonight? Personal opinion, for reference only
The non-farm data and unemployment rate are released around 20:30 in the evening, which will determine whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in June and affect the future and fate of countless investors.
The previous value was 27.5%, and the expected value was 20%. If it exceeds the expected value, it will be negative. Let’s analyze for everyone whether it is likely to be good or bad.
First of all, the US ADP employment number released yesterday recorded an increase of 184,000 in March, which was higher than the expected 148,000. The higher than the previous value was revised up from 140,000 to 155,000. Led by the leisure and hospitality industries, U.S. private companies last month saw their largest hiring gains since July last year. Indicating a strong job market.
At the same time, the leisure and hospitality industry in the United States has driven hiring growth in private companies, which may be related to the reopening of the economy and increased consumer confidence. The recovery of these industries may have a positive impact on overall employment.
Therefore, the probability of bad news is higher. It is possible that the non-agricultural data may be higher than the expected 200,000, and may be between 220,000 and 250,000. Before the data is released, profitable coins can be appropriately reduced by 3-4 layers. After the results come out, if there is good news, it will not be too late to buy it at the first time.
Of course, if the results are lower than expected, it would be a miracle and the cryptocurrency market would counterattack.
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