If you know someone well, get along with them day and night. You may be able to guess 70% or 80% of his thoughts.

If it’s a group of friends you play with often, you might guess three or four of them correctly.

If you try to guess what a group of strangers think about a thing, the result is likely to be completely different.

The trend of the currency market is essentially the result of the psychological effects of a group of people.

Whenever I see someone drawing lines to predict the market or looking at indicators to predict the market, they are actually using divination to guess the market.

I call these behaviors the Great Dance.

In real life, who you are now is equal to the accumulation of who you were in the past. From your current situation, you can roughly infer who you will be in the future, and from who you are now, you can roughly infer who you were in the past.

In the currency market, no one can predict the future from past indicators. The only reason why anyone can say it accurately is because the market is either rising or falling. Sideways means that there is no start, and people will think that the results are not shown.

I recently engaged in nada arbitrage, so let’s use this currency as a case to analyze it.

I listened to the live broadcast on the exchange. The anchor told the fans below to buy it, buy it, and just do it.

I have many interpretations. You can listen to see if my guess is correct.

In the first case, Sesame closed the recharge channel of nada, and the nada project team and Sesame Exchange jointly took over the market, using a small amount of funds to hold down the price of Bit and Matcha, making the funding rate positive, and attracting more people to enter the market for short selling. Fund rate, and then blow them up in one fell swoop to earn money to blow up the position.

In the second case, Sesame closed the recharge channel for Nada, and Nada and Sesame Exchange jointly took over the market. They used a small amount of funds to hold down the price of Bit and Matcha Nada, making the funding rate positive and attracting more people to enter the market for short selling. Eat the funding rate, and at the same time sell the chips in your hand to those who use the contract to hedge and buy spot at a higher price.

In the third case, the project party has a good relationship with Sesame, and after getting angry, the exchange asked the exchange to close the recharge channel first, and then closed a large number of short orders and sold spot goods, resulting in long-short price imbalance.

In the fourth situation, the dealer wants to pull the market. The dealer buys a huge amount of chips on the exchange and eats up the chips of countless retail investors. When the time comes, the contract will open long and short sellers will be wiped out.

In the fifth case, the banker or the project party buys and sells the spot on their own and generates huge transaction volume, which will continue to increase the popularity of the currency and allow more people to buy the currency. At the same time, it will maintain a positive funding rate and allow more people to buy the currency. Buy this coin on spot to achieve easy market pull. Of course, in the end, all arbitrage users with more than 2 times the size of the contract may be liquidated.

The sixth situation is that the trading volume is so huge and the currency is rising very slowly. The dealer is just brushing up the trading volume. The dealer holds a large number of long orders, but there are not enough short orders. In order to stabilize the current price, the dealer Maintaining the funding rate is to attract short-selling opponents, and finally to close all your long orders and make a smooth profit.

But who knows the real situation? If you don’t know, then you are just guessing. You may get it right a few times, but if you keep guessing, you will definitely lose.

What the situation is, this needs to test the person's depth of research on the subject and his professional knowledge.

If you recognize that the dealer is trying to pull the market, then you should combine knowledge and action and buy the spot immediately. Then you will make a lot of money later, and the pull will be 100% in one day. This is the money you should make, and all money is the market's reward for your cognition and behavior.

Please believe that everything I said is wrong

I've finished writing, come on. I am a masseur in Circle B, an old leek who sincerely wishes you to get rich in the currency circle.