Article editing time: 2023.5.15 10:00 noon. There is a delay in the review of the article published to the website. It is mainly for reference, and the specific strategy is mainly based on real-time strategy.
Will the US default on its debt? This is the most discussed topic these days. Most people think that this debt default is a foregone conclusion. Some people say that the core reason for the dispute between the two parties over the debt ceiling is the party-state relationship in the US. But I think the most fundamental reason is actually the conflict of interests between the two parties.
Why do I say that? Everyone knows that in the history of the United States, the two parties have argued many times over the debt ceiling, but in the end, the two sides would make concessions. Because before that, the United States could reap the world's wealth through monetary means such as raising and lowering interest rates. The two parties can redistribute the wealth they have reap.
In other words, the two parties were able to agree on the debt ceiling at that time because the US dollar was reaping the world's wealth and it was profitable for itself.
But this time it’s different. The Fed’s interest rate hike has not achieved the effect of harvesting the world’s wealth.
Bitcoin (BTC)
The weekly line just opened on Monday. The market fell 5.33% last week. It opened at 26900 this week, which is at the bottom of the box. Can it hold the bottom? The moving average EMA15 and 60 formed a golden cross upward, which organized the speed of the K-line decline last week, resulting in the current K-line sideways EMA90. The daily K-line ended 8 consecutive negatives. It stood at the EMA90 support point of 26500 yesterday and then began to rebound. Pay attention to the pressure level of 27700 above. MACD began to shrink and move upward. KDJ formed a golden cross upward, and the Bollinger Bands opened upward. From the trend, it seems that the bulls have started. Be rational. If the high is not broken, go short. If it breaks, make a layout.
The four-hour short-term trend has begun to enter a relatively gentle upward channel. MACD is expected to end the bottom divergence trend today and start to increase in volume. KDJ golden cross is formed. Only the Bollinger Bands are currently beginning to hit the first pressure point of 27200. In the short term, this position is not very strong. It is recommended to go long in the short term. If it does not break near 27700, consider going short.
suggestion:
If 27600-27800 is not broken, go short. Target is 27300-27000-26700. If it breaks, go to 26400. Stop loss is 300 pips.
If 25700-25900 is not broken, buy, target 26200-26500-26800, if it breaks, look at 27200, stop loss 300 points
At present, the K-line is near 26800. Short-term longs follow the trend. Don't talk about free pocketing in the 300-500 range. The market changes rapidly. Don't be greedy. The specific operation is mainly based on real-time strategies, and the analysis is mainly for reference. Risks are borne by yourself.
Ethereum (ETH)
The weekly line also closed negative. This week's weekly line opened at 1800. Although the K-line closed negative, the trend did not change and the bulls were still there. After all, the market has not fallen below the support point below. The EMA moving smooth index is still closing upward. MACD and KDJ have bottomed out. The Bollinger Band support point is 1720. The daily K-line has been accumulating funds at 1800 for six consecutive days. MACD began to shrink and rise. KDJ and Bollinger Bands began to cross upward. The bottom station is 1765, and the upper pressure is around 1860. If it does not break, go short. If it breaks, pay attention to the bulls around 1930
After the short-term four-hour trend returns to the EMA moving average, it has been impacting the various pressure points of the moving average. The MACD bottom divergence is expected to end within the day. The KDJ golden cross is formed and the K line begins to impact the Bollinger band pressure level of 1830. The overall trend is short-term bullish, and the resistance point is around 1860. It is recommended not to break the high position, and to go long if it breaks.
suggestion:
If the upper 1860-1870 is not broken, go short. The target is 1830-1800-1770. If it breaks, go to 1740. Stop loss is 30 pips.
If 1710-1720 is not broken, buy, target 1750-1780-1810, if it breaks, look at 1840, stop loss 30 pips
Before the release, the market has been around 1800. If you follow the trend in the short term, you can get 20 to 40 points of free pocket space. The market is changing rapidly, so don't be greedy. The specific operation is mainly based on real-time strategies, and the analysis is mainly for reference. Risks are borne by yourself
This article is exclusively contributed by the academician of the currency circle, and only represents the exclusive views of the academician. There are in-depth studies on BTC, ETH, DOGE, DOT, FIL, EOS, etc. Due to the time of article push, the above views and suggestions are not real-time, for reference only, at your own risk, please indicate the source for reprinting, and reasonably control the position when making orders, and do not operate with heavy or full positions. The academician also hopes that all investors understand that the market is always right. If you are wrong, you should summarize your own problems and don't let the profits that should have been obtained fly away. There is no need to be smarter than the market in investment. When the trend comes, respond to it and follow it; when there is no trend, observe it and be quiet. It is not too late to wait for the trend to finally become clear before taking action. Tomorrow's success comes from today's choice. God rewards diligence, earth rewards kindness, humanity rewards sincerity, business rewards trust, industry rewards excellence, and art rewards heart. Gains and losses are inadvertent. Develop the habit of strictly taking stop loss and stop profit for each order. The academician of the currency circle wishes you a happy investment!