#BTC #ETF

My views on the adoption of ETFs and subsequent trends:

First of all, I think passing is a high probability event. This is just my opinion. Nowadays, there are quite a few people who say they will not pass.

Assumptions:

Everyone is paying attention to ETFs

Everyone has placed their bets.

Everyone knows the so-called "good things are bad when they are cashed in"

In a market where everyone knows where the market will go, how exactly will the market go?

This is a very interesting question.

So what exactly will the trend be?

The moment the news is announced, prices will rise quickly. It is recognized that 5w is the limit

Because short sellers want to close their positions. Of course, there may also be people who buy in hindsight, and these people may be at risk of being trapped on the hill.

After the upward surge, there will be a decline after the "good news is realized". This kind of drop is more likely to be a negative drop.

There is another possibility, if everyone's expectations have been priced in now. Then there may not be such big fluctuations after the results are announced. What traders trade is the "expected difference". If there is no expected difference, there will be no big fluctuations. $BTC