Recently, BTC has been leading the entire market with a steady increase over the past week, and everyone's confidence is gradually recovering. Whether it's mainstream coins or altcoins, they are almost all quietly rising. I wonder if you seized this opportunity? I've seen many friends watching from the sidelines, ultimately missing out on a good opportunity.
So, should we chase the price increase now?
Regarding BTC, I personally predict its price will fluctuate between $99,000 and $103,000. This period is a stage for solidifying its foundation. If you currently do not have a position, do not impulsively chase highs; you must stabilize and wait to buy at a lower price.
Next, let's talk about BNB. It is expected to fluctuate between $690 and $730. Notably, the new MEGADROP event has launched, and everyone might as well participate actively; you may have unexpected gains. If it coincides with LAUNCHPOOL, then BNB breaking through $730 could happen in no time!
Lastly, let's talk about ETH. It is expected to fluctuate between $3,550 and $3,800, showing a very strong trend. Moreover, institutional holdings continue to increase, what does this mean? If you hold ETH, just continue to hold it steadily.
Now let's take a look at today's technical analysis of BTC: from the K-line trend, the 1-hour level shows a downward trend, while the 4-hour level is in an upward state, the 12-hour level is also rising, and the daily level has been consistently increasing. Currently, the intraday resistance is at $104,000, and the support is at $100,000.
$100,000 is a new starting point. Some may wonder, can we continue to invest at $100,000?
However, this question is actually incorrect! Some people may have already exited before Bitcoin's price reached $100,000. It could be that they achieved their goals, or perhaps they felt their positions were already substantial. Meanwhile, others have continued to increase their positions actively after reaching $100,000. Perhaps it's because they have sufficient funds to continue investing, their targets are still far away, or they feel their positions are still not large enough.
For the former, $100,000 is already quite expensive and sufficient. But for the latter, $100,000 may actually be an extremely cheap price; they feel it's far from enough. Investment decisions actually depend on one's own strength, goals, and holding conditions. When Bitcoin stands at the starting point of $100,000, fractional coins (0.1BTC) are at a new starting point of $10,000, smaller coins (0.01BTC) are at a new starting point of $1,000, and micro coins (0.001BTC) are at a new starting point of $0.10... In short, it’s best to stand at a starting point that suits you.
The Trump family has made a large purchase of Ethereum! What exactly have they seen?
The Trump family has acquired Ethereum, despite some bearish voices in the current market; however, there are several deeper reasons behind this move.
First, focusing on mid-to-long-term potential. Although Ethereum's price is currently low, as a 'giant' in the cryptocurrency field, it is extremely strong in both technology and application scope. There is still a great possibility of a rebound in the future. The Trump family may have seen this opportunity and chosen to buy at a low price, waiting for a future recovery.
Second, for risk aversion reasons. The ongoing uncertainty in the global economy makes cryptocurrencies an alternative asset that can effectively diversify risks in traditional markets. Purchasing Ethereum may be a way to hedge against fluctuations in traditional investments like the stock market, thereby enhancing the safety of one's investments.
Third, layout DeFi and NFT. Although the performance of DeFi (decentralized finance) and NFT (non-fungible tokens) is currently not satisfactory, these two fields still contain huge potential. As the core platform for these two areas, the Trump family may want to occupy a favorable position while prices are low, preparing well for future growth.
Fourth, the dual consideration of politics and economics. By investing in Ethereum, the Trump family not only has the opportunity to gain substantial returns but also to establish connections with key figures in the cryptocurrency industry, which could greatly assist their future capital operations and political layouts.
Overall, the Trump family's operation this time is well thought out. Although the current market is somewhat sluggish, they see the long-term value of Ethereum. For investors, such actions are worth referencing, but they must also remain vigilant and closely monitor market risks.
Now let's turn our attention to the situation with altcoins.
Currently, the hype around AI has dramatically surpassed other fields. After experiencing rounds of market trends involving inscriptions, runes, AI, DEPIN, RWA, TON ecosystem, SUI ecosystem, MEME, elections, ETF sectors, NFT, platform tokens, DESCI, and AI AGENT, the strongest narrative may have already been born: AI agent.
This track perfectly combines the liquidity of Meme with the value narrative of Build, and the scalability of the theme is simply limitless. There may be a pullback in the short term, but there's no need to worry, because Sun Ge's entry ensures that AI+Crypto will surely break through $10 billion, $20 billion, $50 billion, and even aim for higher goals!
Recently, the two major camps discussing the AI agent track on the Sol chain are AI16z and Swarms.
Currently, AI16z firmly holds the leading position, while Swarms is rapidly gaining momentum, temporarily in second place. I predict that when Swarms' market cap reaches one-third of AI16z's, it will reach a peak state.
Regarding the ecosystem coin of AI16z, besides ELIZA and Degenai, Focai is also worth our attention. Focai's market cap has climbed from 60M to 28M and has nearly completed its correction, and I actually made an early purchase... Focai is known as the first eternally immortal on-chain AI agent, based on technologies like ELIZA, ElizaOS, and TEE.
Seeing many big names in Swarms starting to invest in Zailgo, I also followed suit and invested a bit. Receiving two airdrops has been quite delightful, and I feel this development team has great potential. Regardless of the project's intentions, the farmers have certainly made a profit. However, there have been some twists recently; sometimes it’s said that the developers of Zailgo side with AI16z, and then there are disputes over the authenticity of Prism. Let's just wait and see for now.
After some adjustments recently, I recommend a holding ratio of: AI16z and Swarms each at 70%, and other coins at 30%. The benefit of this arrangement is that the leading projects may not have small increases, and the pullbacks won't be too deep, which can help stabilize your mindset. The remaining 30% can be used to seek alpha. Recently, I summarized a bottom-fishing technique: even if you are optimistic about a project, you should first establish a small position and then add to it when it pulls back 60% after a spike; avoid excessive FOMO...
On January 20, 2025, Trump will officially take office, and the related conceptual coins will also see a surge in popularity! Let's take a look at this wave of layout directions that are worth high attention:
Core tokens and their underlying relationships:
First, RSR. The new SEC chairman, Paul Atkins, previously served as an advisor to RSR.
Second, ZRX and DYDX. David Sachs, who is responsible for AI and cryptocurrency at the White House, is an advisor to ZRX, and his venture capital firm has invested in DYDX.
Third, ENA/ONDO/LINK/AAVE. Trump's "World Finance" team has completed layouts for these tokens through COW.
Fourth, DOGE. Will the "Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE)" led by Musk rally again?
Fan Q&A:
When is the right time to enter WLD?
When the price pulls back to the green area below and starts to rebound, you can enter the market.
Market confidence continues to strengthen, whether it's mainstream coins or altcoins, they are all quietly rising. Have you seized this opportunity?
Currently, the AI concept remains a hot choice in the market, and Meme coins are also accumulating explosive energy. In 2025, the Meme narrative will undoubtedly continue to be popular, with both AI and Meme currently at the bottom stage of an upward trend.
Even ordi sats are showing an upward trend on a weekly level. When the market arrives, everyone has the opportunity to profit, but to select those coins that rise first and have a significant increase in advance, it still relies on technical predictions and ambush.
In my view, under the current market conditions, all sectors are steadily rising and have not yet entered a rotation phase.
I have allocated 80% of my position in relatively stable sectors, like major coins ETH, SOL, etc. In the coming months, these coins are likely to outperform Bitcoin. I won’t easily change this part of the allocation, and I will continue to hold other major coin positions.
The remaining 20% is used for short-term targeting. This 20% position is to cope with the uncertainty of when the bull market will start rotating. Nowadays, some low-market-cap coins are seeing increases of 30%-50% daily, but remember to set stop-losses to avoid the impact of a market downturn. The goal is to earn about 50% returns in the short term, with a relatively high risk-to-reward ratio.
As long as you follow this bull market for 3-5 months, you can then rest for several years.
Finally, let’s summarize the important news content recently:
First, in the AI field of exchanges, coins like WLD, Render, and IQ are all on the rise, and JST and BTTC under Sun Ge are also increasing. Sun Ge is very optimistic about AI and is ready to invest heavily.
Second, the on-chain AI sector, such as AI16z, ARC, Swarms, Griffain, etc., is on the rise. AI16z has a strategic partnership with ARC, while Swarms is controlled by a large player. Speculative funds are starting to flow into coins like Long Three and Long Four.
Third, coins in the Meme category like Fartcoin, Goat, Pnut, and Chillguy are all declining.
