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奈米倉倉主
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$SUI
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日本央行10/30-10/31將召開政策會議,這次會升息嗎? 上次日本升息 全球慘跌 這次會升息嗎? 以下節錄自 富聯網 報導 IMF在其10月的《世界經濟展望》(WEO)報告預估,由於汽車產業供應中斷以及旅遊觀光激增帶來的一次性提振效應減弱,日本今年經濟成長率將從2023年的1.7%放緩至0.3%,較7月當時估的0.7%明顯下調0.4個百分點。“隨著實際工資增長的加強,民間消費將推動經濟成長,2025年經濟可能會成長1.1%。” IMF估值假設是基於日本央行將維持一個穩定的貨幣政策路徑。“預計政策利率將在中期內繼續逐步地朝向1.5%左右的中性水準上升。” 由於薪資穩定上漲支撐消費者支出,日本第二季GDP季化年率為2.9%,儘管中國需求疲軟和美國經濟成長放緩為這個依賴出口的國家的前景蒙上陰影。 日本央行總裁植田和男表示,如果經濟和物價發展符合其估值,央行準備進一步升息。 日本央行在7月發布的季度估值中,預計2024會計年度日本經濟將成長0.6%,並在2025財年加速至1.0%。央行將於10月30-31日召開下一次政策會議,屆時將更新估值。
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