A. Price Situation
Current price: $1.4678
24h Volatility: +76.19%
24h Trading Range: $0.616 - $3.52
24h Liquidity: 742.05M USDT
B. Technical Analysis
MA Trend:
MA20 (0.742) > MA50 (0.703) > MA100 (0.632): Long-term uptrend
Price is above all MA lines: Positive signal
Momentum Indicator:
RSI: 6h (66.6), 12h (66.1), 24h (63.5)
All RSIs are in neutral territory but leaning towards overbought
MACD (0.206) > Signal (0.089): Momentum continues to increase
Bollinger Bands:
Upper: $1.586
Middle: $0.742
Lower: -$0.102
Price is close to touching the upper Band: Overbought warning
C. Volume Analysis
Buy/Sell Ratio:
Buy Volume: 48.25%
Sell Volume: 51.75%
Light selling pressure is dominating
Volume quality:
Positive OBV (517.94M)
Negative CMF (-0.138): Money is flowing out
MFI (66.39): Approaching the overbought area
D. Market Pressure
Order book:
Buy Pressure: 45.38%
Sell Pressure: 54.62%
Imbalance: -37.57% (leaning towards selling)
Spread: 0.0004 (good liquidity)
24H FORECAST
A. Main Scenario (60% probability)
Price corrects to the range $1.2 - $1.3
Reason:
RSI across frames is near the overbought area
Selling pressure is dominating
Price has surged and is near BB Upper
Negative CMF indicates money is flowing out
B. Alternate Scenario (40% probability)
Price continues to rise testing $1.6 - $1.7
Conditions:
Strong increase in buy volume
MACD maintains upward momentum
Order book improves on the buy side
TRADING RECOMMENDATION
A. Spot Strategy
Wait for a correction to buy in the range:
Target 1: $1.30 (30% position)
Target 2: $1.25 (30% position)
Target 3: $1.20 (40% position)
Take Profit:
TP1: $1.45 (30%)
TP2: $1.55 (40%)
TP3: $1.65 (30%)
Stop Loss: $1.15
B. Future Strategy
Do not recommend entering a Future order at this time due to:
Excessive volatility (76% in 24h)
RSI close to the overbought area
Selling pressure is dominating
C. Risk Management
Split orders by targets
Set stop loss to protect capital
Closely monitor volume and order book
FOLLOW-UP SIGNALS
Bullish signal:
RSI exits the overbought area
Strong increase in buy volume
CMF turns positive
Order book improves on the buy side
Bearish signal:
Breakout $1.20
RSI negative divergence
Selling volume spikes
MACD crosses below Signal
