1. CURRENT ANALYSIS:
Price and Volume:
- Current price: $0.34945
- 24h volume: 3.50B DOGE
- Number of transactions: 4,269,132
- Average trade size: 820 DOGE
Technical Indicator:
- MA7 (0.3817) > MA14 (0.3069) > MA20 (0.2466) → Short and medium-term UP trend
- RSI: 61.00 → Positive momentum, not overbought
- MACD (0.0666) > Signal (0.0585) → Confirms upward trend
Market Pressure:
- Buying pressure: 1.34 (>1 is positive)
- Buy/sell volume ratio: 0.485 → Slight selling pressure
- Order Book Spread: 0.147 → Leans towards buying
- Bid Wall: 23.11M USDT
- Ask Wall: 17.20M USDT
2. 24H FORECAST:
Main Scenario (60% probability):
- Target: $0.3983 (Resistance 1)
- Support signs:
* MA is positively diverging
* RSI in the growth zone
* Buying pressure on the order book > 1.3
- Stop loss: $0.3471 (Support 1)
Cautious Scenario (30% probability):
- Fluctuating between: $0.3471 - $0.3983
- Characteristics:
* RSI adjusts to the 50 zone
* Volume gradually decreasing
* Order book spread is narrowing
Negative Scenario (10% probability):
- Target: $0.2959 (Support 2)
- Warning signs:
* Breaks support $0.3471
* Buy/sell ratio drops sharply
* RSI breaks the 40 zone
3. TRADING RECOMMENDATION:
Spot Strategy:
- Position: LONG under conditions
- Entry point:
* 40% at current price ($0.3495)
* 30% at $0.3471 (Support 1)
* 30% at $0.3400
- Stop Loss: $0.2959 (-15%)
- Take Profit:
* TP1: $0.3983 (+14%) - 50% position
* TP2: $0.4495 (+29%) - 50% position
Risk Management:
- Max volume: 2% portfolio
- Recommended leverage: Do not use leverage
- Cut loss: Hard stop at -15%
- Adjusted TP: Trailing stop 5% after reaching TP1
4. POINTS TO NOTE:
Positive Signal:
- Uptrend confirmed by MA and MACD
- Strong buying pressure on the order book
- RSI in a healthy growth zone
Risk:
- Buy/sell volume ratio < 0.5
- Trading volume shows signs of decline
- Volatility may increase
5. MONITOR:
Factors to watch in the next 24 hours:
- Volume at support/resistance levels
- Change in buying pressure on the order book
- RSI volatility around the 70 zone
- Formation of important candle patterns