On the first day of the new year, it opened lower as expected. Actually, Bitcoin's surge yesterday made me think it would close with a bullish candle for the month, but it fell short. The trends over the past two days have basically aligned with my expectations, rising at the last moment and then dropping again after the change.
This wave of decline did not actually dip much, and it hasn't even tested 90,000. If the upcoming market rebounds weakly, it will continue to decline.
Now let’s talk about my views on the first quarter:
Firstly, for large capital, consider the ETH ecosystem and DeFi sector, such as UNI, AAVE, LINK, CRV, because the arrival of the altcoin season must rely on ETH to lead the charge. Additionally, the US Ethereum ETF has begun to see net inflows. Secondly, for smaller funds, it is crucial to pay attention to the AI + MEME sector, such as FET, WIF, Pepe, Floki. If there's a new narrative, active participation is necessary. Micro strategies have reduced from buying over 10,000 major coins each time to this time only being able to buy a little over 2,100, and the market rate has shown negative values, with the greed index dropping to 50, indicating that the entire market is in an adjustment phase.
But as the saying goes, the water warms in spring and the ducks know first. Recently, exchanges have started to frequently list new coins. Binance's BIO new listing has not yet ended, and the next Solv has begun its Megadrop. Other exchanges are also engaging in new listings, injecting heat back into the market, so we should not miss these opportunities. We can participate in various exchanges' new listings through hedging or borrowing.
Once the market heats up, there will be a new starting point for the market!
The biggest narrative for the next quarter will still be the ETH upgrade and ETH ETF staking. Recently, while Bitcoin ETFs have seen some outflows, Ethereum ETFs are experiencing net inflows, indicating that many institutions are starting to value Ethereum.
As for the trends in the crypto world, I believe everyone is quite familiar with it: after a big surge, there will be a washout for 1-2 months, then another rise. So during the consolidation period, it's advisable to stock up on coins, buy a little when there's a dip, and wait for the gains brought by good news.
The last chance to escape! Pnut and People will see a wave of surges; remember to escape at the peak.
On January 20, Trump will take office, and the election heroes Pnut and political meme coin People should see a wave of heat. If you hold these two coins, consider exiting around January 20.
As for the People coin, we are very clear that everyone should exit before the election, because after that, without political relevance, it won't have any hotspots. If you haven't run before, during this wave of Trump taking office, you need to seize the opportunity.
As for Neiro, being part of the dog series, its narrative can be more extensive. Previously, when it surged to 0.22, it allowed for a run. For those who didn't run, you can wait for it to hit Coinbase North America when the market is good, and remember to exit completely then. Because this coin is already listed on Coinbase International, the probability of it being listed on the North American main platform later is quite high.
The above coins are not highly recommended for entry; this article mainly provides strategies for those who already hold coins to exit at higher points. Even if it rises higher later, it doesn't matter, because you could exchange it for other strong coins, which will also appreciate. After selling these coins, you can buy others, such as the more stable Pepe and Floki, which has institutional backing.
Of course, the biggest narrative for the next 3-4 months will still be the ETH upgrade and ETH ecosystem coins. As you can see in the chart, Ethereum ETF funds are actually experiencing net inflows against the trend, while Bitcoin ETF is seeing net outflows, indicating that institutions are rebalancing and starting to shift towards Ethereum.
Currently popular on-chain coins
KOMA
Community coin leader, always strong and no need to worry. The community atmosphere is good and united, with no concerns about zero risk. You can buy during corrections with your eyes closed. Yesterday's event mentioned that 25 people purchased 25B of KOMA, and the destruction mechanism has started again. Several group friends have already jumped in to support. The community is building together, growing stronger. Current circulation is 84M market cap.
AICell
AI + meme leader, soaring all the way, very strong. It has corrected a bit; you can consider increasing your holdings. 74M market cap.
ONC
DeSci leader, potential stock, the project party is real-name verified and has a strong background. It is a good time to get in now; I have increased my holdings, 23M market cap
JOI
AI leader on BSC, with the top one AICell playing together; it shouldn't be bad. The market cap isn't high; looking forward to good news. Current circulation is 8M market cap.
KRA
The core developers of Spore are bringing KRA into the AI16z ecosystem, which is surging sharply. It has corrected a bit now, which is a good time to get in. 29m market cap
EVO
Base chain, Evo is the first foundational model to conduct large-scale training on DNA. Desci + AI track, the community is gradually starting up, slowly but steadily rising. 27m market cap
BRM
Base chain, AI agent, the image of Tathāgata, Buddhism in Southeast Asia, this AI is well trained, 10 million market cap
Lastly, let's talk about Musk's actions on platform X, which once again triggered a huge shockwave in the crypto world!
On December 31, 2024, local time, the world's richest man, Tesla CEO Musk changed his nickname on his social platform X to 'Kekius Maximus', which led to a straight surge of a meme coin named after Musk's new nickname, Kekius Maximus.
According to CoinGecko data, before Musk changed his nickname, the price of Kekius Maximus was around $0.0112. After the nickname change, the price of Kekius Maximus skyrocketed, increasing more than nine times on December 31, 2024. On January 1, 2025, the price of Kekius Maximus continued to rise, peaking at $0.40. Currently, the price of Kekius Maximus oscillates around $0.3495, with a total market cap exceeding $330 million, up over 3000% since Musk updated his nickname.
However, it should be reminded that meme coin prices are very volatile and carry high risks; investors should participate cautiously.
