The current market's callback range and trend, if compared with historical market conditions, the conditions we set are relatively loose, the purpose is to obtain more data reference.

By comparing with eight time points in history, we found that one of the time points quickly plummeted into a bear market within a month, and the other started a bear market more than a month later, while the other six time points continued to rise, maintaining an upward trend for at least one month, and the strongest period of growth even lasted for five months.

If we set the conditions more strictly, the current situation is more similar to the period from December 2020 to January 2021. Therefore, I still maintain the view that the bull market will continue.

Of course, the market needs to be continuously observed. If the trend in January and February is really not as expected, I will choose to adjust my position to half of BTC and prepare to lie flat. As for the market situation in 2025, according to my expectations, there is no need to clear the position before the first half of the year.