The market scenario that I currently consider the most likely:

1. Bitcoin falls to 85-90k

2. Altcoins drop in panic by 15-20% alongside

3. Everything is bought back within 1-3 days

4. Bitcoin consolidates around 100-102k and stays there until mid-January

5. With a stable Bitcoin, altcoins start to gradually recover (by 3-10% per day)

6. After January 20, a bubble begins to inflate, triggered by Trump's team

7. Bitcoin rises to 145k by May. Altcoins give 10-20% per day against this backdrop

8. Mid-May. A series of sharp declines of 20-30% and rises of 10-15%. A bear market begins

9. Sharp declines of 30-50% occur without recovery

10. The market enters a flat phase