According to the latest information, the Federal Reserve announced on December 19 that it will lower the target range for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points, from 4.5%-4.75% to 4.25%-4.5%.

This is the lowest level since February 2023, down one percentage point from the 5.25%-5.5% range from July to September 2023.

In addition, the Federal Reserve released its quarterly economic forecast, predicting further rate cuts in 2025, but the magnitude may be smaller than previously expected.

According to the latest dot plot, there may be only two 25 basis point rate cuts in 2025, a reduction from the previously expected four.

This reflects the Federal Reserve's ongoing concern about inflationary pressures, as well as its cautious attitude towards economic growth and the labor market.

Overall, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy in 2025 will rely more on economic data, with the pace of rate cuts likely to slow down, and the market needs to closely monitor future economic indicators and policy trends.

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