$SCR
1. New Technical Analysis:
- Price is breaking below MA20 (1.218) and MA50 (1.164)
- RSI has sharply decreased to the 30-35 zone, approaching the oversold area
- MFI indicates that money is being withdrawn strongly
- Volume has surged in recent sessions with high selling pressure
2. Money Flow Analysis:
- The Long/Short ratio is sharply decreasing to 50%, indicating that investors are shifting to a Short position
- Margin liquidation pressure is increasing
- Net money flow in the last 24 hours is negative 148.81K SCR
3. Adjustment Trading Scenario:
Main Scenario (70%):
- Price continues to decrease to the 1.12-1.13 zone in the next 12-24 hours
- Confirmation signs: Selling volume continues to remain high, RSI shows no signs of divergence
- Entry point: No entry recommendation at this time
Secondary Scenario (30%):
- Technical rebound to test 1.16-1.17
- Only occurs with a reversal of money flow and a sudden increase in buying volume
4. Recommendations:
- DO NOT ENTER at this time due to:
+ The short-term downtrend remains strong
+ Very high selling pressure from margin liquidation
+ No clear technical recovery signals
- Wait for prices to stabilize in the support zone of 1.12-1.13 and signal a reversal before participating
5. Volatility Risks:
- The possibility of a further decrease of 5-7% in the next 24 hours is high
- Stop loss should be set at 1.11 if a position has been established
- Closely monitor the trends in volume and margin money flow to assess selling pressure
In summary: The market is in a strong adjustment phase with high selling pressure. It is recommended to stay on the sidelines and wait for stable signals before participating.