$VELODROME
Based on the latest VELODROME/USDT data update, I have some adjusted comments:
1. Recent developments:
- Current price: 0.1908-0.1909, down about 8.8-9%
- Trading volume has increased: 4.74M (buy) and 4.30M (sell)
- RSI(6) has dropped to 32.04, indicating oversold zone
- 5-day Large Inflow negative 39.99M, selling pressure remains strong
2. Scenario adjustment:
Scenario 1 (Probability of increase to 70%): Continue to decrease
- Test the support zone of 0.1728 (Bollinger Band DN)
- Selling volume remains high
- OBV continues to decline sharply, confirming the downtrend
Scenario 2 (Probability of decrease 30% remaining): Technical recovery
- There may be a slight recovery due to oversold RSI
- The nearest resistance is at MA20 (0.2178)
- Need to surpass 0.2188 (MB) to confirm the reversal
3. Important levels:
- New support: 0.1728 (DN), 0.1484 (old bottom)
- Resistance: 0.2178 (MA20), 0.2647 (UP)
Updated recommendations:
- Do not buy the bottom during this period
- Can wait for Short when the price recovers to the resistance zones
- If holding a Short position, can trailing stop to protect profits
- Wait for a strong reversal signal and confirmed volume before considering buying
Note: The market is in a strong downtrend, need to manage risks closely and should not use high leverage.