The market in the past few days has basically seen Bitcoin surging while altcoins are slowly following; others... are lagging behind.
Although Bitcoin has reached new highs again, other altcoins surged for a while (which can actually be ignored). Once Bitcoin stopped rising and stabilized, altcoins started to drop. When Bitcoin retraced, altcoins plummeted even more, with many coins showing nearly a 10-point fluctuation after rising and then falling.
Be cautious when bottom-fishing; don't rush. Don't be fooled by Bitcoin's steady rise; once it stops rising and starts to retrace, altcoins will also plummet.
Because Bitcoin's rise is parasitic, when it falls, it will definitely drop as well. At this stage, there's no way to have another wave of altcoin season for a rebound.
There are now reports confirming an interest rate cut, causing Bitcoin to break through again and start a larger bull market.
However, from the current perspective, most altcoins do not have their own momentum; they are basically watching Bitcoin's movements, whether it will break through or retrace. Ethereum is also watching whether Bitcoin can continue to rise, and its increase is very slow.
These coins should all wait until Bitcoin has firmly established new highs before funds come in to drive the market; otherwise, any rally would be in vain, as Bitcoin could easily retrace and drop back.
So now we can only wait for the market to confirm before we enter. We might miss a little profit in the early stages, but having already escaped at a phase peak is already a gain. As long as it's not one line that spikes 30 points, we still have an advantage in entering.
In a bull market, many people are easily swayed by market fluctuations, missing opportunities, and are eager to jump in, feeling anxious when they see other coins rising.
When you see your coins not rising, you want to switch; when you see volatility increasing, you want to do contracts, chasing highs and selling lows back and forth. This approach is very dangerous. Many people have not experienced a bull market; they are confused when prices rise and confused again when they fall, leading to unstable emotions. Not operating for a day feels uncomfortable; they'd rather lose money than wait. Eventually, after losing everything, they have no emotions left and become more obedient.
These are some operations that beginners inevitably encounter.
Although I can't bring you all into Q to avoid these money-losing actions.
But I still tell everyone from the perspective of someone who has been through it: there are plenty of opportunities, but they must be under the premise of protecting the principal.
Don't just listen to this and jump in, then listen to that and come out. Going in and out looking for excitement; when the excitement is over, you feel drained, and your capital is also drained.
If you are willing to follow the group's strategy, that's fine; at least it can guarantee that you won't lose money, which is the most basic.
Even though the information on the platform is delayed compared to the timely updates in Q, keeping up still guarantees steady profits.
Christmas gift? Bitcoin's performance in December is worth looking forward to.
Technical analysis shows that Bitcoin currently exhibits a pattern of 'continuously higher lows', indicating a robust bullish trend, and forming a 'flag pattern' which is often a precursor to further upward movement.
Moreover, Bitcoin's performance in December is also worth looking forward to. From historical data, in the 9 years from 2015 to 2023, Bitcoin rose in December in 5 of those years, with 2020 seeing an astonishing increase of 46.92%, making it the 'strongest Christmas gift'.
The 'seasonal cycle' of Bitcoin prices may seem accidental, but there are actually patterns to follow. Every April to May during tax season, some investors choose to cash out, leading to market corrections; as the end-of-year Christmas holidays approach, funds pouring in inject fresh liquidity into the market, often pushing prices higher.
Next stop 120,000?
The upward potential of Bitcoin is far from reaching its ceiling. By the end of 2025, Bitcoin is expected to rise to $150,000. Although some in the market believe that Bitcoin's rise over the past month has fully reflected the positive factors, this surge is just the prologue; the real bull market has only just begun.
Institutional investors, family offices, and high-net-worth individuals often need time to adapt to the concept of 'allocating 1% to 3% of their investment portfolio to Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies.' Once this trend takes hold, the inflow of funds into the cryptocurrency market could experience exponential growth.
Additionally, Trump's cryptocurrency-friendly policies, the global trend of interest rate cuts, and ZG's economic stimulus measures will all be strong driving forces supporting this market wave.
When to escape the peak? How to escape the peak?
In the main upward trend of Bitcoin, building a top does not happen in one or two days. Investors often have over a month to escape at the peak stage. Therefore, as an investor, you only need to set a threshold for this peak and then reduce your holdings in batches based on this number. No one can sell at the very top unless they are a deity; selling at a relatively average price is sufficient. This way, when a correction occurs, buying back will easily increase the number of coins. After all, everyone has a consensus on the long-term value of Bitcoin, so everything is aimed at increasing the quantity in terms of coins.
