The history of the global financial markets has consistently shown that truly successful traders never predict; they all have a set of operational principles, and following these principles is the best prediction.
All operations are essentially results of different segmented boundaries, only that each person's segmented boundaries are different. Therefore, the question is not what to predict, but to determine the segmented boundaries. Once the boundary conditions are segmented, it is necessary to determine how to operate in the event of each situation, effectively segmenting the operations as well. Leave all situations to the market itself and let the market choose at that moment.
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"Economics" and "Trading Theory" are fundamentally different. Economics studies the factors and reasons behind price fluctuations, looking for reasons when prices rise and fall, and often predicts where prices will go next. Trading theory studies the patterns of price fluctuations, without involving the factors and reasons behind the fluctuations, and makes profits based solely on the fluctuations.
