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Today's Picks
U.S. household net worth rises to record high in third quarter
Trump: Stock market is everything to me; will do great things in crypto
Israeli military officials: We are preparing for possible attacks on Iranian nuclear facilities
The European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, and the Swiss National Bank cut interest rates by 50 basis points
Source: Bank of Japan inclined to keep interest rates stable next week
Texas lawmakers propose bill to create strategic Bitcoin reserves within state coffers
Central Economic Work Conference: Next year we must maintain growth and employment, implement a more proactive fiscal policy, and a moderately loose monetary policy. We must focus on nine key tasks, including vigorously boosting consumption, improving investment efficiency, and expanding domestic demand in all directions.
President Xi Jinping meets with Russian United Russia Chairman Dmitry Medvedev in Beijing
Ministry of Commerce: Open to communication with the new US government's economic and trade team
Market Review
On Thursday, the US dollar index started to rise before the European session, and then staged a "roller coaster market" during the US session, rushing to the 107 mark, and finally closed up 0.34% at 107.01. The US Treasury yield rose by more than 1% during the day, with the two-year US Treasury yield closing at 4.201% and the 10-year US Treasury yield closing at 4.334%.
Perhaps because investors began to take profits after briefly hitting a five-week high at the beginning of the session, spot gold fell below the $2,700 mark, and fell more than 1% during the day, eventually closing down 1.36% at $2,680.57 per ounce. Spot silver began to fall before the European session, and eventually closed down 2.98% at $30.94 per ounce.
Although weighed down by forecasts that the oil market will be well supplied, rising expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve provided some support for crude oil. Both oil prices fell slightly on Thursday, with WTI crude oil falling to an intraday low of $68.76 before rebounding sharply and recovering most of its intraday losses, eventually closing down 0.47% at $69.63 a barrel; Brent crude oil closed down 0.29% at $73.15 a barrel.
The three major U.S. stock indexes all fell, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average closing down 0.53%, the S&P 500 down 0.54%, and the Nasdaq down 0.66%. Adobe (ADBE.O) fell 13.7%, Google (GOOG.O), Tesla (TSLA.O) and Nvidia (NVDA.O) all fell more than 1%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index closed up 0.18%, MINISO (MNSO.N) rose more than 5%, and Alibaba (BABA.N) closed slightly higher.
Major European stock indices basically closed higher, with Germany's DAX30 index closing up 0.13%; Britain's FTSE 100 index closing up 0.12%; and Europe's STOXX 50 index closing up 0.12%.
The Hang Seng Index rose more than 300 points in the first half of the day, but the gains fell back in the afternoon. The Hang Seng Index closed up 1.2% at 20,397.05 points. The Hang Seng Technology Index closed up 1.53% at 4,600.82 points. As of the close, the Hang Seng Index had a turnover of HK$157.754 billion. On the market, consumer stocks continued to be active, with the beverage sector leading the gains, and technology stocks strengthening. In terms of individual stocks, Mao Geping (01318.HK) rose 11.65%, Guolian Securities (01456.HK) rose 9.2%, Mengniu Dairy (02319.HK) rose 7.2%, Tongcheng Travel (00780.HK) rose 5.9%, China Resources Beer (00291.HK) rose 5.7%, Budweiser Asia Pacific (01876.HK) rose 5.3%, Ctrip Group-S (09961.HK) and Bilibili (09626.HK) rose more than 4%, Xiaomi Group (01810.HK) rose 3.8%, and NIO (09866.HK) fell 2.4%.
The three major A-share indexes opened low and ended high. As of the close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.85%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1%, and the ChiNext Index rose 1.35%. On the market, retail concept stocks set off a daily limit surge, with more than 20 stocks such as Yonghui Supermarket and Hongqi Chain hitting the daily limit; the tourism sector strengthened, with Rhine Sports and Dalian Shengya hitting the daily limit; Internet finance concepts rose in the afternoon, with many stocks such as Huibo Yuntong and Jincai Internet hitting the daily limit; in addition, Douyin concept, breeding industry, education, building materials and other sectors ranked among the top gainers; PEEK material concept, humanoid robot concept, steel, mineral products and other sectors ranked among the top losers. The total market turnover exceeded 1.8 trillion yuan.
International News
1. U.S. household net worth rose to a record high of $168.8 trillion in the third quarter.
2. Trump: The stock market is everything to me; will do some great things in the cryptocurrency field.
3. Israeli military officials: We are preparing for possible attacks on Iran’s nuclear facilities.
4. Israel launched air strikes on areas around Damascus, and its troops temporarily entered the Syrian buffer zone. It was reported that Russia was close to reaching an agreement on maintaining military bases in Syria, and Russia said it had established direct contact with the Political Committee of the Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham.
5. The leader of South Korea's ruling party said that Yoon Seok-yeol's speech to the nation was "beyond expectations" and would push the party to decide in favor of impeachment; the National Assembly voted to pass the special investigation law on sedition to investigate President Yoon Seok-yeol's suspected sedition, and South Korea's opposition party submitted a bill to impeach South Korean President Yoon Seok-yeol to the National Assembly.
6. The ECB cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected and removed the statement of keeping interest rates restrictive. Traders now expect the ECB to cut interest rates by less than 125 basis points in 2025.
7. The Swiss National Bank cut interest rates by 50 basis points, while the market expected a 25 basis point cut. The bank said it was ready to intervene in the foreign exchange market if necessary.
8. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said on social media that Romania and Bulgaria have become official members of the Schengen Area.
9. The plenary session of the House of Representatives of the Japanese Diet passed the supplementary budget bill for fiscal year 2024, which will then be sent to the Senate for deliberation and voting.
10. Source: The Bank of Japan tends to keep interest rates stable next week.
11. The IEA raised its forecast for global crude oil demand next year to 1.1 million barrels per day, but believed that the oil market would still be well supplied in 2025. The IEA also lowered its forecast for oil demand growth this year by 80,000 barrels per day to 840,000 barrels per day.
12. It is reported that Canada is considering imposing export taxes on uranium, oil, fertilizers and other exports to the United States in order to counter Trump's tariff threats.
13. Texas lawmakers in the United States proposed a bill to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve within the state finances.
14. BlackRock recommends that investors interested in Bitcoin allocate up to 2% of their portfolio.
Domestic News
1. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing. The conference pointed out that next year, we should maintain stable economic growth, maintain overall stability of employment and prices, maintain a basic balance of international payments, and promote the synchronization of residents' income growth and economic growth. We should implement a more proactive fiscal policy and increase the fiscal deficit ratio. We should implement a moderately loose monetary policy and reduce the reserve requirement ratio and interest rates at the right time. We should maintain the basic stability of the RMB exchange rate at a reasonable and balanced level. The conference determined that next year, we should focus on nine key tasks, including vigorously boosting consumption, improving investment efficiency, and expanding domestic demand in all directions.
2. Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the CPC Central Committee and President of China, met with Dmitry Medvedev, Chairman of the United Russia Party of Russia, in Beijing.
3. Ministry of Commerce: We are open to contact and communication with the new US government's economic and trade team; in addition, the US claim that Chinese information and communication products pose security risks has no factual basis.
4. Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security and 10 other departments: Incorporate returned overseas students into the country's unified employment policy system to promote high-quality and full employment for returned overseas students.
5. Xu Zuo, former member of the Party Committee and deputy general manager of CITIC Group, was expelled from the Party and removed from public office for serious violations of discipline and laws.
6. 62 kinds of drugs are included in the centralized procurement, and the bidding for the tenth batch of national organized drug centralized procurement is opened, involving the fields of hypertension, diabetes, tumors, cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, etc.
7. From December 15, the individual pension system will be rolled out nationwide from 36 pilot cities (regions). New circumstances for early withdrawal of individual pensions will be added, and government bonds, specific pension savings, and index funds will be included in the catalog of individual pension products.
Risk Warning
☆At 8:01, the UK will release the Gfk Consumer Confidence Index for December;
☆ At 15:00, Germany will release its October seasonally adjusted trade account; at the same time, the UK will release its October three-month GDP monthly rate, October manufacturing output monthly rate, October seasonally adjusted merchandise trade account and October industrial output monthly rate;
☆At 15:45, France will announce the final value of the November CPI monthly rate;
☆At 18:00, the Eurozone will announce the monthly industrial output rate for October;
☆At 21:30, Canada will announce the monthly rate of wholesale sales in October, and the United States will announce the monthly rate of import price index in November;
☆At 2 o'clock the next day, the United States will announce the total number of oil drilling rigs for the week ending December 13.
Article forwarded from: Jinshi Data
