Let me inform everyone in advance that there are several risk time points this month.

The most important is from December 18 to December 19, which is the time for the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting and Japan's interest rate meeting. Currently, the probability of a rate hike in Japan in December is around 66%. If there is a rate hike, it will have a certain negative impact on the market, and there will inevitably be significant fluctuations in the short term, with a high probability of sharp declines.

However, Japan's rate hike in December is likely to be its last, so this negative news will quickly turn into positive news, as the saying goes, "first bitter then sweet." Moreover, given that we are currently in a bull market cycle for U.S. stocks and the cryptocurrency market, the impact of Japan's rate hike will be digested by the market in at most 1 to 2 weeks. Therefore, around December 20, it can be shorted, and there will be opportunities to buy at the bottom.

After the end of next week, everyone should start paying attention; positions and leverage should be cautious in the short term, but there is not much impact on the medium to long term, and it will not shake the upward trend.

Additionally, there will be the U.S. November core PPI on Thursday night next week. If it rises from Monday to Tuesday, then there will definitely be sharp declines on Thursday night, which will also create opportunities to buy at the bottom. As long as the low long positions are well controlled, there shouldn't be too much of a problem, because these sharp declines mainly target those with high leverage positions.

Currently, there are no particular negative factors in the bull market; theoretically, it is on a straight upward trend, but a market that only rises without falling is unhealthy. The market makers have to use these informational time points to create bubbles in the short term, and occasional sharp declines are more conducive to healthy and orderly development in the future.

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