Bitcoin is too crazy.
Or it can be said that institutions are now too reckless; they are focused on Bitcoin, and today Tether has again issued 1 billion USDT on the Ethereum chain.
This indicates that significant funds have entered the crypto circle; the rise tonight is closely related to the new funds building their base positions.
Bitcoin has already reached an absolute historical high tonight, and the market's greed and fear index still remains high at 83.
From the perspective of Bitcoin outflow from exchanges, there has also been an increase today; everyone cherishes the Bitcoin in their hands, starting to stock up, and all believe that this round of the bull market will reach 150,000.
Previously, thirteen said Bitcoin would reach 100,000 during the bear market; at that time, this goal felt astronomical, but now it is within reach.
If the bulls exert a little effort, perhaps this goal can be achieved tonight.
However, thirteen believes the likelihood is low. The greater possibility is to give everyone an expectation of reaching 100,000 and then suddenly have a pullback.
Thirteen still maintains a bullish outlook for the subsequent market, but perhaps it really should take a break after such a long rise.
If the market sentiment is too optimistic, the retail investors will become greedy, and the risk of a pullback will be infinitely magnified.
When everyone is celebrating, thirteen is the most anxious; history has told me countless times that when everyone thinks there will be a big rise, it is the time of highest risk.
Therefore, my suggestion is to continue holding spot positions, but do not chase high at this position; those with empty positions should continue to invest according to my method.
For those with a basic position, be sure to stay vigilant and not let joy turn into sorrow.
2,
Of course, thirteen prefers the market to keep rising, ideally starting to fluctuate after Bitcoin reaches 100,000.
Ethereum will take the lead, then altcoins will follow, and finally, a few hundred times of junk coins will emerge.
...
This way, we can achieve an initial accumulation of wealth, but the market will certainly not be smooth sailing.
Although we all know that Bitcoin may rise to 150,000 in this round of the bull market, the process in between could be very tortuous.
When we are in a bear market, pessimistic emotions arise, believing that the market will keep falling and will not rise again; the crypto circle has lost hope, and Bitcoin is nearing zero.
So I had to cut losses.
When in a bull market, people tend to be overly optimistic, believing the market will keep rising without a pullback, and Bitcoin will go to the moon.
Many people are already fully invested.
Thirteen still maintains a spot position of no more than 70%, mainly concentrated in mainstream coins, so I can sleep soundly tonight.
No matter how the market fluctuates, I have a response plan.
This is the hallmark of a mature investor, not engaging in high-risk investments through crazy contracts.
At least I hope that thirteen's fans can control their desire to open positions now.
3,
Although there are risks in the short term, the long-term outlook remains bullish.
Therefore, we must hold onto our spot positions.
Musk has officially taken office, but it was a bit funny during the recruitment process; he hopes geniuses can work for the government for free, with a weekly working time of 80 hours.
For Elon Musk, the world's richest man, he no longer has the concept of salary; he believes everyone has a great dream, but the premise of a dream is to survive.
As a result, it has also faced ridicule from many big shots, including Coinbase's CEO Armstrong.
Trump also secretly met with Armstrong, which has vastly expanded the market's imagination; after all, during this time period, Trump is forming his cabinet and government positions.
It is highly likely that the government will include Armstrong in Trump's team to gain maximum benefits in the cryptocurrency field.
At least it will let Armstrong help recommend cryptocurrency experts.
This actually represents the new government's attitude towards cryptocurrencies; what Trump once said, the promises made are likely to be fulfilled one by one.
Therefore, this round of the bull market will definitely be very crazy, so crazy that people cannot imagine.
No matter how the market fluctuates, we must hold onto our chips, especially those quality low-position chips.
4,
The biggest problem Trump faces after taking office is the debt issue.
This issue is a mess left by previous governments; this country is lucky, allowing Trump to save it using a corporate management model.
If Kamala Harris is elected, then the wars will continue, and various expenditures will continue to increase, making the debt problem even more serious.
Many are worried that Trump will solve the debt problem by raising tariffs; after looking at a lot of data, my conclusion is that it might be raised, but it will definitely not be the main method.
The consequences of raising tariffs are also very serious; the consequence of tariffs is that the prices of goods will rise, which can only be solved by printing money to distribute to the people.
A large portion of the printed money will be taken away by those with resources, while the money in the hands of ordinary people will not increase proportionally for purchasing goods.
The lives of ordinary people will not be easy, and chaos will ensue.
More seriously, inflation will also increase, leaving little room for interest rate cuts, and the debt issue will become more severe.
Therefore, tariffs are not Trump's means of solving the debt issue.
Releasing debt pressure through cryptocurrencies might be one of the ways they are seeking.
So, we must also be cautious; when Trump shifts the debt risk into the crypto circle, once the bear market begins, it will inevitably lead to bloodshed.
Therefore, when the 26th year begins, we should take profits and exit; the specific method will be communicated within the circle.
