If you are looking for a sword by carving a boat, follow the previous bull market. Here we mainly talk about time, and we will see the price when the time comes, and make a rough estimate.

If it is a strong trend, it will not start the BTC-20% correction until the end of December, and then consolidate for 1 month, and then rise for 3 months, until March and April next year.

With this trend, there may be another bull market with top divergence in the second half of next year.

The price point is estimated to be 110k-85k-150k.

If it is a weak trend, it will immediately enter the correction, and then adjust for half a month, and rise to Q1, when the election is held.

The price point is estimated to be 95k-80k-110k

Of course, there is also the weakest bear market trend. At present, the probability is not particularly high, but referring to the trend of alts, it is not impossible to appear.

In fact, it is an extension of the weak bull trend. When it falls to 80k, it will not only fall, but continue to fall below 70k, ending the bull market, and looking for support near 55-60k.

Ps: Don’t say that carving a mark on a boat to find a sword is useless. In March, many people said that the sharp drop after the halving was like carving a mark on a boat to find a sword. Those who didn’t believe it are still stuck at the top of the mountain.