Forwarding a simple method I posted elsewhere a few days ago when everyone was crazily opening empty positions, to estimate tops and bottoms.

The methods for confirming a top and confirming a bottom are actually the same and quite simple. Regardless of the top and bottom fractals in the Chande theory, we'll use the simplest method to judge. Top signal: 1. The daily line closes with a very long upper shadow. 2. The daily line level bearish engulfs bullish (a bearish candle wraps around the last bullish candle). 3. The daily line level shows a double top (the same price, two daily lines that cannot break through consecutively or separately). If any of the above conditions are met, it can be understood as a 'top'. To confirm a bottom, just look at it in the opposite way from the top. This can be judged without any technical indicators.

Similarly, how to estimate that a trend has ended, whether down or up, 90% of the time will end with a wave of the same direction acceleration as a signal, for example, the end of an uptrend is often a quick upward spike followed by a pullback (a very long upper shadow), and the end of a downtrend is also marked by a quick drop and appears as a quick pullback. So how to confirm this as an end? When there is a top low (resistance level decreases) more than once, it confirms the start of a pullback. Taking Bitcoin as an example, the previous high x0.93 represents a 4-hour level pullback, if it reaches here, it can bounce back over 3%, re-entering the uptrend channel, and this time the top of the uptrend is likely to be higher than the previous top. If it drops 7% and the rebound does not exceed 3%, and then drops another 3% on top of the 7%, then it enters a daily level pullback.

These are some relatively simple methods to assist you in estimating whether a trend has ended without any indicators.