A significant shakeup in Trump’s election odds occurred after a whale investor known as ‘larpas’ sold off $3 million in Trump shares on Polymarket. This move came shortly after the crypto influencer GCR announced taking profits, leading to a 4% drop in Trump’s odds, which later stabilized at 58.1%.
🔹 High-Stakes Players in Prediction Markets: The sell-off highlights the influence of professional traders on these platforms, notably the French investor "Théo," who has wagered a staggering $30 million on Trump’s victory. Théo, employing accounts like ‘Fredi9999’ and ‘Theo4,’ has strategically placed bets across multiple outcomes, including the Electoral College and key swing states.
🔹 A Potential Payout of $80 Million: Théo stands to earn up to $80 million if his predictions pay off, relying on insights like the “shy Trump voter effect” and historical polling discrepancies from past elections.
For Théo, this isn’t about politics; it’s about the potential profits in an uncertain market. As prediction markets heat up, it’s clear that high-stakes strategies and deep analysis are at play. Will Théo’s bets pay off, or will this be a costly gamble?
