A significant shakeup in Trump’s election odds occurred after a whale investor known as ‘larpas’ sold off $3 million in Trump shares on Polymarket. This move came shortly after the crypto influencer GCR announced taking profits, leading to a 4% drop in Trump’s odds, which later stabilized at 58.1%.

🔹 High-Stakes Players in Prediction Markets: The sell-off highlights the influence of professional traders on these platforms, notably the French investor "Théo," who has wagered a staggering $30 million on Trump’s victory. Théo, employing accounts like ‘Fredi9999’ and ‘Theo4,’ has strategically placed bets across multiple outcomes, including the Electoral College and key swing states.

🔹 A Potential Payout of $80 Million: Théo stands to earn up to $80 million if his predictions pay off, relying on insights like the “shy Trump voter effect” and historical polling discrepancies from past elections.

For Théo, this isn’t about politics; it’s about the potential profits in an uncertain market. As prediction markets heat up, it’s clear that high-stakes strategies and deep analysis are at play. Will Théo’s bets pay off, or will this be a costly gamble?

A French citizen has made significant investments on Polymarket, a popular crypto-based prediction market, speculating on Donald Trump’s chances in the upcoming U.S. presidential election. According to data from Polymarket, Trump currently has a 63.9% probability of winning, as highlighted by Lookonchain.
The investor placed $4.48 million in “Yes” shares, reflecting strong confidence in Trump’s victory. This action followed a withdrawal of 3 million USDC from the OKX exchange, with substantial bets on Trump sparking discussions on social media about the potential impact of these investments on the prediction market.

Rising Trump Odds and Questions About Market Influence
Trump's increased odds on Polymarket reflect a growing interest from high-stakes investors. In total, four accounts have placed significant bets on Trump’s victory, with a potential combined payout of approximately $46 million.
The rise in Trump’s odds has led some to question whether large investments, such as this French citizen’s, are influencing market sentiment. Polymarket’s investigation, however, confirmed that the trader’s actions were driven by personal conviction rather than any intent to manipulate the market.
Polymarket Verifies Transparency of Betting Activities
An investigation into the French investor’s betting activities revealed significant experience in financial markets, particularly in crypto-based investments. According to Polymarket, the investor made these decisions based on his own interpretation of the U.S. presidential race.
Polymarket further stated that no attempts at market manipulation were detected. The platform also assured that this investor would be required to report any new accounts he might open on Polymarket, ensuring full transparency and market integrity.
Monitoring High-Stakes Accounts on Polymarket
Four accounts participating in high-stakes bets – Fredi9999, Theo4, PrincessCaro, and Michie – are closely monitored by Polymarket to ensure compliance with platform standards. Although Polymarket did not specify which account belongs to the French investor, it emphasized that prediction markets are not public opinion polls. Instead, they gauge the likelihood of specific outcomes based on real-time betting data.
#Polymarket , #donaldtrump , #CryptoBetting , #USPolitics , #CryptoNews🚀🔥
Stay one step ahead – follow our profile and stay informed about everything important in the world of cryptocurrencies!

Notice:
,,The information and views presented in this article are intended solely for educational purposes and should not be taken as investment advice in any situation. The content of these pages should not be regarded as financial, investment, or any other form of advice. We caution that investing in cryptocurrencies can be risky and may lead to financial losses.“