After three months of ups and downs, Bitcoin finally stood at $70,000 again. 70,000 seems to be a key integer, which is not only the peak of the bull market in 2021, but also the psychological integer for many people to judge whether to get on board. The historical highest point of Bitcoin was $73,777 in March this year, which means it only takes 5%. This time the market has really rebounded, and it is time to get on board. What about the copycats?

Election expectations boost

The fact that the US election cycle and Bitcoin cycle are so closely aligned was only noticed by the cryptocurrency community this year. Trump was unexpectedly friendly to Crypto and Bitcoin, and half of the industry was excited, while the other half was afraid. He attended the Bitcoin conference to give a speech, and released his own DeFi product. His declaration of "making Bitcoin a strategic reserve for the United States" made the overall market recognize Trump's possible victory, which is a great boon to the cryptocurrency community.

Although the bigwigs on Polymarket have used funds to give Trump a huge lead, according to the current public polls, the probability of Trump and Harris is still roughly 50:50. The final battle will begin next week, and hot money has an extremely keen sense of smell. I wonder if there is any new rumor about Bitcoin's 70,000 this time.

ETF Inflows

The ETF attracted much attention when it was first launched, mainly because of the influx of a large amount of new funds and the new record of Bitcoin price. However, the total funds of the ETF soon began to flow out, and the market sentiment began to decline.

The data chart shows the inflow of ETFs. August 8 was the lowest point of the period, and funds have been flowing in net in the past few months.

Rate cuts

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points in September, which was much higher than expected, and Bitcoin also pulled up in response. Now the expectation for November is a 25 basis point rate cut, which is generally understood by the market as a positive factor. After all, the starting point of the last bull market was the rate cut in March 2020.

Looking back at the entire month of October, although Bitcoin (BTC) still outperformed the altcoin market most of the time, we can see that the market's expectations for altcoins remain unabated.

November is approaching, which counterfeits can we pay attention to in advance?

APE

APE is one of the altcoins that performed well in October. In mid-October, APE's price continued to rise thanks to the launch of ApeChain (a new third-layer blockchain). In the past 30 days, the price has increased by 27%.

Judging from the daily chart, after the launch of ApeChain, the price of $APE once rose to $1.58, and then experienced a 33% correction. The current price is hovering around $1.

The 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) shows that the support level of $APE is around 0.87. If this point holds, $APE in November is expected to challenge $1.19 again; but if the bulls fail to hold the support level of $0.87, ApeCoin may fall to $0.71.

DOGE

DOGE has risen nearly 30% this month, and a tweet from Musk yesterday pushed Dogecoin up another 14%.

The so-called "bullish flag" has appeared on the price chart of $DOGE. In this pattern, the price of the currency will consolidate in parallel after a strong rise, and gradually form a range trend similar to the flag shape. Once it breaks through the upper boundary of the flag, it may usher in a larger increase.

If $DOGE can continue to stay above $0.15 in November, it will be expected to challenge $0.18; however, if the price falls below $0.13, it may enter a correction phase.

SUN

Finally, we have Solana ($SOL), Ethereum’s biggest competitor. Since October 18, the price of $SOL has risen by 16%, a strong performance.

From the $SOL/$BTC technical structure chart, the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) has broken through the 50 EMA, forming a strongly bullish "golden cross" pattern. The appearance of a golden cross usually symbolizes the beginning of a long-term upward trend.

The current $SOL/$BTC ratio is 0.0026 and if the trend continues, it is expected to rise to 0.0028 in November; however, if the golden cross fails, $Solana may lag behind Bitcoin.

Although Bitcoin remains the core of the market, some altcoins are expected to become the most bullish altcoins in November under favorable price trends. However, the altcoin market is volatile, so you still need to be cautious and keep an eye on market news and changes in technical indicators to effectively reduce risks.

Considering the strong fundamentals of Bitcoin demand, if there are no major negative policies, Bitcoin still has a considerable chance of a breakthrough before the end of the year.

But we still need to remain cautious. Whether the target will be met in the end will still depend on whether the market can successfully overcome obstacles such as regulation, policy changes and geopolitical risks.

In the face of volatility, patience and strategic planning are needed. Whether it is institutional demand, ETF capital inflows, geopolitical tensions, or the upcoming US election, all these factors may bring uncertainty to the price of Bitcoin at the end of the year. So you must make your own strategy and set a good profit and stop loss.