The recent wave of increases is the market's early digestion of the favorable expectations based on Trump's campaign. Once it is realized, there will likely be a short-term spike followed by a drop. However, if Trump wins, the medium-term trend will be bullish. Conversely, there will be a one-sided decline. There is no need to guess how the market will move; we just need to be ready to respond at any time. When the soldiers come, we block; when the water comes, we cover.

The short-term high-level fluctuations are due to the election results not yet being finalized, and most major players are choosing to wait and see. High-leverage traders need to manage risks.

This Thursday and Friday may see sharp fluctuations. Next week, the volatility will be intense.

Currently, there are no signs that BTC will break 100k, at most around 80k. The probability of breaking 100k before the end of the year is very low, so there is no need to be overly FOMO. Those KOLs won’t tell you how to specifically handle contracts and spot trading during short-term fluctuations; their constant calls for a surge to 100k by year-end are just leading you to your demise.

No matter how strong the belief, it is meaningless; trading is never a one-size-fits-all approach, and compound interest is the most important. The most critical link in the short to medium term is that Bitcoin must first stabilize above 72,300-73,300 USD to see 80k. For now, aiming too high is unrealistic; the road is long and arduous.

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