Can the peak of this round of BTC bull market reach 100,000? Here is the answer for you
Based on the bull-bear cycle —> provide the timing and height of this round's 'bull peak' —> the timing and low point of the next round's 'bear bottom'
1. First round of bull-bear cycle (2011—2013)
Bear market: June 2011—November 2021, lasting 6 months, dropping from $32 to $2, a decrease of 93.7%.
Bull market: December 2011—December 2023, lasting 25 months, rising from $2 to $1,134, an increase of 566 times.
2. Second round of bull-bear cycle (2014—2017)
Bear market: January 2014—January 2015, lasting 12 months, dropping from $1,134 to $172, a decrease of 84.8%.
Bull market: February 2015—December 2017, lasting 35 months, rising from $172 to $19,587, an increase of 113 times.
3. Third round of bull-bear cycle (2018—2021)
Bear market: January 2018—December 2018, lasting 12 months, dropping from $19,587 to $3,255, a decrease of 83.4%.
Bull market: January 2019—November 2021, lasting 35 months, rising from $3,255 to $69,000, an increase of 20 times.
4. Fourth round of bull-bear cycle (2021—2025)
Bear market: December 2021—November 2022, lasting 12 months, dropping from $69,000 to $15,682, a decrease of 77.3%.
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Based on a series of indicators such as STH-MVRV, TMMP, RPC, CVDD and PDATH, we provide predictions:
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(Prediction) Timing and price of this round's bull peak
Bull peak time: October 2025
Bull peak price: $140,000—$160,000
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(Prediction) Timing and price of the next round's bear bottom
Bear bottom time: October 2026
Bear bottom price: $48,000—$56,000
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