Essential for Bitcoin investment, preview of this week's major events (10/14-10/20)
This week, there are still intensive speeches from Federal Reserve officials, but the market's expectations for the next rate cut are relatively unified, and this information has limited impact on the market.
The election is approaching, and the market needs more election information to make a decision. Currently, polls show that Harris's approval rating is 2%, while Polymarket shows that Trump's approval rating is 10%. Crypto's innovation of the traditional world is still developing.
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This week's major events:
Monday, October 14
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2026 FOMC voting member and Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari participated in an expert panel discussion (21:00)
Tuesday, October 15
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Federal Reserve Board member Waller spoke on the economic outlook (03:00)
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2024 FOMC voting member and San Francisco Fed President Daly spoke at an event hosted by the New York University Stern School of Business (23:30)
Wednesday, October 16
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Federal Reserve Board member Kugler spoke (01:00)
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UK September CPI (14:00)
10/17 Thursday
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Eurozone September CPI (17:00)
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ECB announces interest rate decision (20:15)
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U.S. initial jobless claims for the week (20:30)
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U.S. September retail sales monthly rate (20:30)
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ECB President Lagarde holds monetary policy press conference (20:45)
10/18 Friday
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2026 FOMC voting member, Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari speaks (22:00)
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Crypto market outlook:
The crypto market is still volatile in October, and there are no hot spots in major speculative markets. At present, the IV of the main term of Bitcoin is at a medium level, and the IV before and after the election has also declined significantly. It is a good opportunity to lay out some medium- and long-term bullish positions this week.
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In terms of the crypto interest rate market, the Bitfinex interest rate market has been relatively stable recently, with occasional high-interest orders of 20%. If you encounter a suitable interest rate order, you can actively trade it, especially when there is a market trend, it is worth paying special attention to.