Bitcoin has experienced a 4-year bull-bear cycle, and an ordinary person will experience 10 of them in his 40-year career and investment career.

Every bear market crash is a huge test of the will and happiness of ordinary people.

Even if you sacrifice the extreme increase (a flash in the pan), you need to sell at a reasonable high price.

How to sell? I fine-tuned the model according to the Reddit fan price ratio proposed earlier, taking the value at the beginning of 2018 as the benchmark, and assuming that the original players doubled their investment every 4 years. The medium valuation index is about 200. When the index is lower than 100, an average sell-off is carried out for half a year.

Sell 1/26 in the first week; sell the remaining 1/25 in the second week; ... sell the remaining 1/2 in the 25th week; sell the last one in the 26th week.

The current index is 372, and it will rise 3.7 times to reach the index 100.

Ship half to Usdt and half to Usdc. It is hard to say which one is safer.