☕Research report: How have various assets performed after the Fed started to cut interest rates?
Certain rules have emerged in the 7 rounds of interest rate cuts. Before the first interest rate cut, US bonds, gold, etc. usually benefited
After the first interest rate cut, the risk of price fluctuations of most assets has increased in stages. After 2-3 months, US bonds and US stocks may perform positively. Before and after the interest rate cut, the winning rate of US bonds is relatively high.
1. US bonds: The interest rate trend is downward, but in the case of a "soft landing", it may rebound within 1-2 months after the first interest rate cut.
2. US dollar index: There is no absolute correlation between the trend and the interest rate cut, and whether it is a "soft landing".
3. US stocks: The rally may "stalled" before and after the first interest rate cut, but it usually resumes rising 2-3 months after the interest rate cut.
4. Gold: The probability of rising before the interest rate cut is high, but the trend after the interest rate cut is unclear.
5. Crude oil: The probability of falling after the interest rate cut is high, but it is not absolute.
For assets like $BTC , I have only one thing to say: the surge is beyond your imagination!
