1 If the Fed chooses to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, the market has already digested its influence in advance, and the US stock market will fall but will not collapse. But if the interest rate is cut by 50 basis points, the market will inevitably panic, and the US stock market will inevitably plummet, and BTC is no exception.
2 Yesterday, the market rose to the peak of the historical trajectory of the 61300k line, and then there was a callback. This was also one of the trends analyzed and predicted yesterday. Fortunately, there was no crash. This is a typical induced behavior before the arrival of major data. After the big rise, the callback oscillated and accumulated power. After the data was released, the market rose, and even broke 61300 to 61500-62000. At this time, there will definitely be many institutions in the market exaggerating the bull market. Think about how many retail investors are confident at this time, and they will all become part of this leek feast. Solid: BTC will fall after attracting more
3 It fell from 65,000 to 62,500 on August 25, and then rose from 52,500 to 61,300. In fact, this K-line trajectory is a triangle shrinking trend when it is small, and a fluctuating downward trend when it is large. Both are satisfied. Solid: BTC will fall.
4 If the US cuts interest rates, the US will not get any advantage in the Sino-US financial war, and the whole world will laugh at it. Even if it wants to cut interest rates by 50 basis points, the US will bite the bullet and cut 25 basis points directly. Have you ever thought that if there is no 50 basis point cut, market panic will definitely intensify, and the US market will inevitably fall directly when it opens. With the US's morality, either the interest rate will be cut by 25 points, or there is even a probability that the interest rate will remain unchanged. No matter which possibility it is, BTC will fall anyway.
5 Trump has been attacked twice because he has touched the cake of too many people, and capital is anxious, and during his term of office, he has collected a lot of black material from capital through power. This is Trump's trump card. Harris cannot affect Trump's victory in the election. So it is certain that the earliest start of the bull market will be after the November election.
6 BlackRock focuses on the Ukrainian economy. Russia and Ukraine are now in a narrow victory or defeat. They have no time and energy for the cryptocurrency circle. If Ukraine loses, then Russia will make BlackRock spit out the principal and interest of this war.
$BTC #美联储利率决议即将公布