Prediction Markets: Kamala Harris Favored to "Win" First Debate

Kamala Harris is favored by Polymarket traders to "win" her first presidential debate against Donald Trump, with a 75% chance of being declared the winner by the Ipsos/538 survey. However, this victory might not shift the broader election odds, as bettors give Harris just a 22% chance of taking the lead in the main election contract.

In Other Prediction Market Highlights:

- Harvard Applications: Kalshi bettors anticipate a decline in applications for the class of 2029, citing the lingering effects of former President Claudine Gay's controversial tenure.

- Canadian Election: Despite recent political shifts, Polymarket bettors put the odds of a Canadian election in 2024 at just 22%. Trudeau's government is likely to endure, bolstered by potential deals with the Bloc Quebecois.

Note: Prediction markets can change rapidly and may not accurately reflect actual outcomes.

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