"Will Bitcoin collapse tonight? The shocking scam behind the non-agricultural data, the dealer has already set up a trap for you to fall into!"
According to market consensus expectations, the number of non-agricultural employment in the United States in August is expected to increase by 160,000, compared with 114,000 in the previous month. At the same time, the unemployment rate is expected to drop from 4.3% to 4.2%.
1. Will bad news become good news?
Weaker non-agricultural data is often seen by the market as a signal to promote the Fed's loose monetary policy. The market expects the Fed to accelerate interest rate cuts and provide more liquidity to support economic recovery. Increased liquidity usually brings more capital inflows, which drives prices up.
If tonight's non-agricultural data is weaker than expected, the market may overreact, and the Fed will take more easing measures, which will drive Bitcoin to rebound in the short term.
2. Does strong data mean a plunge?
If the non-agricultural data is stronger than expected, the market will re-evaluate the Fed's monetary policy path. Will this "strong data = bad news" reaction be over-interpreted?
Many investors and institutions have viewed Bitcoin as a long-term hedge against inflation, not just a short-term risk asset. Therefore, even if the non-agricultural data is strong, the market makers may use the changes in market sentiment to wash the market, causing retail investors to panic sell and take the opportunity to absorb funds.
The routine of the market makers to wash the market
Before and after the release of major data, the market makers often complete the absorption or shipment by creating illusions and taking advantage of short-term market fluctuations. The following are common market makers' routines:
1. Create false breakthroughs: The market makers often manipulate prices to deliberately break through key support or resistance levels to induce retail investors to chase up or sell down. After the release of non-agricultural data, market sentiment fluctuates greatly, and Bitcoin may have false breakthroughs
2. Amplify market sentiment fluctuations: The market makers amplify the market's reaction to non-agricultural data by increasing trading volume or manipulating orders. For example, if the data is weaker than expected, they may create a wave of false declines, forcing holders to sell, and then take over at a low price.
Remember, the market is always anti-human, and the real winners are often those who bravely buy in fear and decisively leave in greed.
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