Four major potential risk events in the fourth quarter of this year:

1: The 30% increase in crude oil has led to the resurgence of inflation

The Federal Reserve pauses interest rate hikes;

2: The U.S. government shutdown is beset by crises;

Three: European economic recession, active or passive appreciation of the US dollar;

Four: The U.S. auto workers' strike escalates, pushing up wages and reversing expectations of a soft landing for the U.S. economy.

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