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Today's Picks

US media: Some senior officials believe Biden may decide to withdraw from the election as early as this weekend

Fed's Goolsbee: We've seen better inflation data for several months in a row

ECB keeps rates unchanged and refuses to commit to future rate path

Source: Israeli negotiating team is drafting new terms for ceasefire agreement

Musk: No donations have been promised to anyone

Xinhua News Agency is authorized to release the Communiqué of the Third Plenary Session of the 20th CPC Central Committee

The CPC Central Committee will hold a press conference at 10 a.m. today.

Media: A group of top US business executives will visit China next week

Market Review

On Thursday, the U.S. dollar index recorded its biggest one-day gain since June 20, closing up 0.43% at 104.18, as the July Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index was higher than expected, showing signs of a strong U.S. economy. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield closed at 4.2050%, and the two-year Treasury yield closed at 4.4840%.

Due to the impact of the strengthening of the US dollar index and traders' profit-taking, spot gold fell for the second consecutive day, hitting an intraday low of 2440.38, and finally closed down 0.53% at $2445.14 per ounce. Spot silver finally closed down 1.49% at $29.83 per ounce.

As the market worried about insufficient demand for crude oil in Asia, WTI crude oil closed down 0.93% at $80.81 per barrel; Brent crude oil finally closed down 0.42% at $84.78 per barrel.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 1.29%, the S&P 500 fell 0.78%, and the Nasdaq fell 0.7%. Nvidia (NVDA.O) bucked the trend and closed up 2.6%, while Apple (AAPL.O), Amazon (AMZN.O) and Google (GOOG.O) all fell by 2%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index closed down 1.2%, while Xpeng Motors (XPEV.N) and JD.com (JD.O) fell by more than 2%.

Major European stock indices were mixed, with Germany's DAX30 index closing down 0.45%; Britain's FTSE 100 index closing up 0.21%; and Europe's STOXX 50 index closing down 0.44%.

The Hang Seng Index of Hong Kong stocks closed up 0.22% at 17778.41 points; the Hang Seng Technology Index closed down 0.76% at 3613.13 points. The Hang Seng market turnover reached HK$87.536 billion. On the market, photovoltaic solar energy stocks, telecommunications equipment stocks, and power stocks were among the top gainers, while online education stocks and Chinese stocks returning to Hong Kong were among the top losers. In terms of individual stocks, Nongfu Spring (09633.HK) closed up 6.48%, China National Offshore Oil Corporation (00883.HK) closed up 1.89%, Xpeng Motors (09868.HK) closed down 5.2%, and Ctrip Group-S (09961.HK) closed down 3.13%.

The three major A-share indexes fluctuated weakly in the morning and rebounded in the afternoon, with the ChiNext Index performing strongly. As of the close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.48%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.5%, and the ChiNext Index rose 1.25%. On the market, the concept of lithography machines collectively broke out, Shuangle Co., Ltd. and Lanying Equipment rose by 20%, and Kaimet Gas rose by the daily limit; the industrial mother machine sector strengthened in the afternoon, and East China Heavy Machinery, Qinghai Huading, and East China CNC rose by the daily limit. In addition, railways and highways, aerospace, traditional Chinese medicine, insurance, automobiles, electricity, vitamins and other sectors rose at the top; consumer electronics, automotive services, rubber, software development, AIPC, copper cable high-speed connection concepts and other sectors fell at the top. More than 2,100 stocks rose in the two markets, with a turnover of 672.3 billion yuan today.

International News

1. US media revealed that Democratic leaders such as Schumer, Pelosi and Obama all hope that Biden will evaluate whether to continue to run for election. Some senior officials believe that Biden may decide to withdraw from the election as early as this weekend; US media said that Biden instructed to evaluate Harris's poll situation. She has accepted the possibility of defeat and withdrawal, but has not yet made a decision; Biden's campaign team and White House officials have stated that Biden will continue to run for election.

2. Fed's Goolsbee: We have seen better inflation data for several consecutive months.

3. The European Central Bank kept interest rates unchanged and refused to commit to the future interest rate path; Lagarde said the door to a rate cut in September was open, while emphasizing the downside risks to the economy and internal inflationary pressures.

4. OPEC+ representatives believe that the August meeting will not change the oil production plan.

5. Japan reduced its holdings of U.S. Treasuries by US$22 billion in May, and China reduced its holdings by US$2.4 billion.

6. Sources said that the Israeli negotiation team is drafting new terms for a ceasefire agreement, focusing on the issue of control over the Rafah crossing.

7. Donating $45 million a month to Trump? Musk responded: I have not promised any donations to anyone.

8. It was previously reported that iPhone 16 shipments increased by 10%? Well-known Apple supply chain analyst Ming-Chi Kuo: There may not be an increase.

Domestic News

1. The Third Plenary Session of the 20th CPC Central Committee reviewed and adopted the “Decision of the CPC Central Committee on Further Comprehensively Deepening Reform and Promoting Chinese-style Modernization”.

2. Xinhua News Agency is authorized to release the Communiqué of the Third Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China. Communiqué of the Third Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee: By 2035, a high-level socialist market economic system will be fully established, the socialist system with Chinese characteristics will be further improved, the modernization of the national governance system and governance capacity will be basically achieved, and socialist modernization will be basically achieved, laying a solid foundation for building a socialist modern power in an all-round way by the middle of this century. By 2029, the 80th anniversary of the founding of the People's Republic of China, the reform tasks proposed in this decision will be completed.

3. Communiqué of the Third Plenary Session of the 20th CPC Central Committee: Promote reforms in key areas such as finance and taxation in a coordinated manner to enhance the consistency of macroeconomic policy orientation. The plenary session proposed that scientific macroeconomic regulation and effective government governance are the inherent requirements for giving full play to the advantages of the socialist market economy system. It is necessary to improve the macroeconomic regulation system, coordinate reforms in key areas such as finance and taxation, and enhance the consistency of macroeconomic policy orientation. It is necessary to improve the national strategic planning system and policy coordination mechanism, deepen the reform of the fiscal and taxation system, deepen the reform of the financial system, and improve the mechanism for implementing the regional coordinated development strategy.

4. The Central Committee of the Communist Party of China will hold a press conference at 10 a.m. on the 19th to introduce and interpret the spirit of the Third Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the Party.

5. Media: A group of top US corporate executives will visit China next week. According to reports, the executives visiting China are from Goldman Sachs, Starbucks, Honeywell, UnitedHealth, Nike and Qualcomm, all of which have large businesses in China.

6. Vietnam submitted a proposal for delimitation of the continental shelf in the South China Sea to the United Nations Commission on the Limits of the Continental Shelf. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs said: China firmly opposes this.

7. Did Zong Fuli embezzle huge amounts of state-owned assets from Wahaha? Shangcheng District State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission responded: We are investigating and verifying the situation.

Risk Warning

☆07:45, Federal Reserve Board Governor Bowman delivered a speech;

☆At 22:40, FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams delivered a speech on monetary policy. He had previously hinted that if inflation continues to slow recently, there may be reasons to cut interest rates in the coming months, but there will be no rate cut at the July Fed meeting.

The article is forwarded from: Jinshi Data