“The likelihood of Joe Biden withdrawing from the US presidential race has increased by 6 percentage points, reaching 65%, according to traders of the cryptocurrency market Polymarket forecasts.
This happened before his first press conference in months. Questions about his age and cognitive health have led to calls from leading Democrats and donors, including actor George Clooney, for the president to step aside, despite his assurances to the contrary.
Biden's chances of winning the Democratic nomination fell 16 points to 38%. The third contract, dealing with the question of who will win the presidency, now gives Biden a 10% chance of winning, while Vice President Kamala Harris has a 19% chance and presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump has a 61% chance at Polymarket."