#美联储何时降息？
To be honest, I think the highest probability is September, but I am a little worried that September might be a little late, because some economic data in the United States have come out very quickly recently. If the unemployment rate continues to rise, it will be easy to fall. So some people in the United States are still looking at a rate cut in July, but the probability is really small, because the most hawkish officials of the Federal Reserve recently believe that we need to see inflation continue to fall for several months. Even those who are more dovish need the unemployment rate to continue to rise or inflation to continue to fall to confirm. I am just worried that the continued rise in the unemployment rate will lead to a recession.
