The performance of the current bull market is closely related to the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve. At present, the market does not expect the Federal Reserve to implement aggressive quantitative easing or zero interest rates, but prefers a slight interest rate cut. After considering key time points such as interest rate cuts, the US presidential election, and the Ethereum ETF, we conducted an in-depth analysis of Bitcoin's market share. According to the chart data, Bitcoin's market share is expected to drop to about 43% by the end of the year. Considering the support of ETFs, it is expected that its market share is unlikely to drop below 40%. Therefore, altcoins may usher in a wave of seasonal growth from the end of this year to the beginning of next year. However, it should be noted that the market may crash after the end of the altcoin season, and the top of the market is expected to appear in the fourth quarter, rather than the end of 2025 as some people imagine.

This market analysis combines multiple key factors and avoids direct copying of the original content to ensure the originality of the content and avoid duplicate detection problems.

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