Will the script of the market be written like this? The biggest driving force of the future market is ETH ETF and interest rate cuts! As for interest rate cuts, the market's current biggest expectations are September and November.

There are several market assumptions:

Assumption 1:

ETFs are passed in July or August, and interest rates are cut in September.

Then there will still be fluctuations and bottoming in July and August (a small increase before ETFs are passed), and after the interest rate cuts are implemented and the fake fall, a new big market will start in October.

Assumption 2:

ETFs are passed in any month of July, August, and September, and interest rates are cut in November

Then there is a high probability that there will be a small increase before ETFs are passed, a short correction after passing, and then a shock, and a small market will be launched in September and October again in conjunction with the expectation of interest rate cuts and funds entering ETFs. After the interest rate cut in November, the market will pull back for 1 to 2 months, and a new big market will be launched in the first quarter of 2025.

In short, it is unwise to sell the chips now. It seems that the bull market in the second half has not really arrived yet. Comprehensively speaking, there are still many opportunities in the exchange market. From a larger scale, we are experiencing a new bottoming stage.

Next, we have to fight against the risks of the market and prepare for long-term operations. At least we must survive in the second half of the year! No contracts, no leverage, make plans for over-the-counter leverage, spot should be based on ETH, supplemented by cottage, and not all warehouse cottage, so as to better fight against the uncertain market changes in the future. We still don’t have much time to wait for the second half of the bull market, just a few months, we can wait. #美国6月非农数据高于预期 #美联储何时降息？ #ASI代币合并计划 #BTC走势分析 #VanEck提交首个SolanaETF