Today, the pin hit 53,000. The 53,000-56,000 position has strong support. Now that it has reached this level, there will inevitably be a rebound, but we must pay close attention to the quality of this rebound. If we cannot stand back to 63,000 (the starting point of this wave of decline) in 1-2 weeks, then the probability of continuing to look for support will increase. From this round of new highs, it has been sideways for nearly 4 months. We can clearly see that the continuous shipment volume of the high-level platform exists. If the US macroeconomic environment does not improve later, and the platform that has been sideways for 4 months is missed, then we can almost confirm that Bitcoin will continue to look for support downward, and the next support level will directly see 42,000-45,000, which is a very scary thing, because it is very likely to show signs of turning bearish, which is what we least want to see. From another perspective, the current selling pressure mainly comes from Mentougou's compensation of 140,000 coins, Germany's 40,000 coins, miners, 2 million coins of on-site liquidity tokens, ETFs continue to flow out in small amounts, and rumors from the market and our government. These forces jointly directed this wave of decline, but now more than 75% of the k-machine models have reached the shutdown price, and the only ones left are the recent batch of new mining machines. Against the background of declining computing power, the probability of Bitcoin continuing to spiral downward is extremely low, which has never happened in history (not in the interests of all whales, institutions, governments, k-merchants and k-markets). So from this perspective, the probability of Bitcoin V rebounding above 63,000 is higher than falling to around 42,000. #美联储何时降息？ #ASI代币合并计划 #Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划 #美国6月非农数据高于预期