US inflation is back on the cooling track. The Fed has not cut interest rates for seven consecutive times. What is it waiting for?
On June 12, local time, the Fed ended its two-day monetary policy meeting and announced that it would maintain the target range of the federal funds rate at 5.25% to 5.5%, and predicted that it might implement a rate cut at most this year.
This is the seventh consecutive meeting since September last year that the Fed has kept interest rates unchanged, which happened against the backdrop of an unexpected slowdown in US inflation in May.
Analysts pointed out that the two main factors affecting the Fed's rate cut process are inflation levels and employment conditions. At present, the data from both aspects are moving in the direction of guiding rate cuts, and the possibility of a rate cut in September is not small. However, the Fed is trying to avoid the adverse effects of hasty actions on inflation control.
"Therefore, the Fed may think that there is no need to cut interest rates in a hurry. If it acts too early, it will have an adverse effect on inflation control." Lian Ping said.
"At present, inflation and employment data are moving in the direction of guiding interest rate cuts. Maybe in September, the reasons for a rate cut will be more sufficient. In addition, a rate cut in September is consistent with the US government's policy demands to create a good economic atmosphere before the election. Therefore, compared with a rate cut in December, a rate cut in September is relatively more likely." Lian Ping said.
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